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Al-Fayha vs Al-Riyadh Prediction & Betting Tips 04.05.2026

Football PredictionsSaudi Pro LeagueSaudi Pro League
Al-Fayha logo
Al-Fayha
04 May19:10R 1
00:00:00
Al-Riyadh logo
Al-Riyadh
PredictionStatisticsOddsLineupsStandingsH2H

Match form loads a moment after the page opens so the main prediction can appear first; recent results are fetched right after.

Al-Fayha — Last 6
Al-Riyadh — Last 6

Al-Fayha host Al-Riyadh in the Saudi Pro League on Monday evening, 4 May 2026, and the table gives this one real weight at both ends of the division. Al-Fayha sit 11th on 35 points, comfortably clear of the bottom end but still with plenty to sort out in the middle of the pack. Al-Riyadh are down in 16th on 23 points. That is the uncomfortable reality. They’re not just chasing safety, they’re trying to drag themselves away from a season that’s been short on control and long on damage limitation.

For Al-Fayha, this is the sort of home fixture they simply have to manage well. Pedro Emanuel’s side have been sturdier at their own ground than the overall league position suggests, and another positive result would help keep the pressure off in a messy mid-table run-in. Al-Riyadh need something more urgent. Maurício Dulac’s team are running out of room, and with their away record looking poor, a trip to a side that usually gets at least something at home is hardly ideal. They’ve got to show more than they did in their 0-4 home loss to Al-Qadsiah. That was a hiding.

Al-Fayha Form & Analysis

Al-Fayha arrive here without a win in four league matches, but the story is a bit more nuanced than a dry run of results suggests. They were beaten 2-0 away to Al-Hazem on 11 April, then held Al-Ahli 1-1 at home in a decent response on 8 April, before slipping to a narrow 1-0 defeat away to Neom SC on 4 April. That run looked like it might drag them down. Instead, they steadied themselves with a 1-0 home win over Al-Ettifaq on 13 March and, more recently, a 1-1 draw away to Al-Kholood on 30 April. Not sparkling. But not broken either.

The home form is the cleaner part of the picture. Al-Fayha’s record at this ground is five wins, six draws and three defeats, with 17 scored and 15 conceded. That’s the profile of a side that’s awkward to beat in front of its own supporters, even if they don’t always turn territory into goals. They’re not blowing teams away. They don’t need to. What they’ve done at home is stay in games, keep the margins tight and avoid the kind of collapse that can turn a respectable season into a panicky one. Their recent home results fit that mould: a goalless-looking 1-0 against Al-Ettifaq, a 1-1 with Al-Ahli, and now Al-Riyadh coming to town.

There are some clear patterns here too. Al-Fayha have scored in enough home games to make them a nuisance, but they’ve also been vulnerable at the other end, and they’ve gone four matches without a clean sheet. That matters. It’s one reason they’ve spent so much of the campaign living in narrow scorelines. The 1-1 draw at Al-Kholood was a fair reflection of their latest outing. The xG was modest at 0.63, the shot count was low at 8-5, and yet they still found a way to pinch a point. That’s Al-Fayha in a nutshell right now: not dominant, not passive, just hard to shut out completely.

Al-Riyadh Form & Analysis

Al-Riyadh’s last few weeks have been messy, and the latest result was the worst of the lot. They were battered 4-0 at home by Al-Qadsiah on 29 April, a game that produced a huge xGA of 4.48 and only one shot on target from their side. Before that, they lost 2-1 away to Al-Hazem on 24 April, which followed a lively 3-2 win away at Al-Ettifaq on 9 April. Sandwiched in there was a 1-1 draw with Al-Shabab on 5 April and a 3-1 home win over Al-Ittihad on 13 March. So there’s been the odd flash of life. The trouble is, those moments keep getting wiped out by defensive collapse.

That’s been the defining theme of their season. Al-Riyadh are 16th with only 23 points, and their overall record is grim enough on its own: five wins, eight draws and 17 defeats, with 30 goals scored and 58 conceded. The away split is even less forgiving. On the road they’ve taken just nine points from 15 matches, with two wins, three draws and ten losses, scoring 15 and conceding 35. Those are relegation-grade numbers, plain and simple. They travel badly, they concede too much, and they rarely control matches long enough to take the sting out of them.

Still, they’re not a side without a punch. Al-Riyadh have scored in enough away games to stay dangerous, and they’ve found the net in recent trips to Al-Ettifaq and Al-Hazem. The problem is that their defence keeps handing opponents the initiative. They’ve gone eight matches without a clean sheet, and that’s not a small detail. It’s the central issue. When you’re giving up chances and goals so regularly, you’re always one poor spell away from losing the game. You could say the 4-0 defeat to Al-Qadsiah was an outlier. It wasn’t really. It was the latest version of a familiar problem.

Mind you, the win in Al-Ettifaq showed there’s still some attacking quality in this squad. They can score. They just can’t rely on it. That leaves them in a dangerous place for this trip to Al-Fayha, because if they go behind, the chase tends to open them up even more. They’ve got to find a more disciplined shape quickly. Right now, that shape isn’t there.

Head-to-Head

These two have played out a few tight ones in recent seasons, and Al-Fayha have had the better of the broader picture. The latest meeting finished 1-1 in Riyadh on 10 January 2026, after a 0-0 draw there in February 2025. Before that, Al-Fayha won 2-0 at home in September 2024 and drew 1-1 at home in March 2024. They also beat Al-Riyadh 2-1 away in the King’s Cup in September 2023 and 3-1 away in the league a few days later.

There’s a pattern worth respecting: Al-Fayha don’t tend to lose this fixture. They’re unbeaten in eight straight head-to-head meetings, and the games have often been close enough to keep both sides interested. That doesn’t guarantee anything on Monday. It does suggest Al-Riyadh rarely get the better of this opponent. Not often enough, anyway.

We Predict: Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score at 5/6 looks the strongest angle here. If you want a few more angles around BTTS and win combinations, our BTTS and win tips page pulls together BTTS and win combinations if you want a more aggressive version of the same kind of read. It fits the shape of both sides better than a straight result bet. Al-Fayha have gone four games without a clean sheet, while Al-Riyadh have failed to keep one in eight. That’s a messy enough combination on its own, and you don’t need much imagination to see chances at both ends when one side has 17 home goals and the other has scored in away matches of late.

The xG projection leans the same way, with Al-Fayha at 1.5 and Al-Riyadh at 1.3. That points toward a game with enough attacking return for both to land a punch. A 2-1 home win feels the most natural scoreline. Al-Fayha’s home record gives them the edge, and Al-Riyadh’s away defending is too soft to trust. Still, their habit of finding a goal on the road keeps BTTS in play. If you wanted a secondary angle, over 2.5 goals has some appeal too, but the better read is both teams scoring in a home-leaning contest.

Recent matches

League and venue; tap a row for the match page.

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Al-Fayha

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Al-Riyadh

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Team statistics for both teams

Percentages from finished games after filters (1X2, goals, BTTS).

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