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Degerfors IF vs IF Elfsborg Prediction & Betting Tips 17.04.2026

Football PredictionsAllsvenskanAllsvenskan • Sweden
Degerfors IF logo
Degerfors IF
17 Apr20:00R 3
0:1
Full Time
IF Elfsborg logo
IF Elfsborg
PredictionStatisticsOddsLineupsMatch StatsDetailsStandingsH2H

Match form loads a moment after the page opens so the main prediction can appear first; recent results are fetched right after.

Degerfors IF — Last 6 matches
IF Elfsborg — Last 6 matches

Degerfors IF host IF Elfsborg at Stora Valla on Friday evening, 17 April 2026, with both sides still trying to settle into the early rhythm of the Allsvenskan season. It’s only the second weekend of the campaign for Degerfors and the third for Elfsborg, but already there’s a bit at stake. Degerfors are looking to build on a bright away win at Halmstads BK and avoid being dragged into trouble at home, while Elfsborg arrive higher up the table and with the kind of early momentum that usually keeps a club in the top-four conversation.

For Degerfors, this is about proving they can turn one good result into a run. They’ve already been punched hard at home, losing 3-0 to IK Sirius, and that makes Friday’s test feel more important than the calendar would suggest. Elfsborg, meanwhile, have four points from their opening two league matches and are unbeaten in the league so far. A positive result here would keep them nicely placed near the top end of the standings. A slip wouldn’t be fatal. It would just leave a mark.

This fixture also has a habit of producing goals. The recent meetings between the clubs have rarely been quiet, and that matters when you look at how both sides have begun the season. Degerfors have already shown they can score away from home, but they’ve also looked open. Elfsborg have been involved in lively matches too, and while they’ve been stronger overall, there’s little in their opening weeks to suggest a cagey, controlled evening. You’d expect chances. Plenty of them.

Degerfors IF Form & Analysis

Degerfors’ season is still in its early chapters, and the story so far has been mixed. They opened their league campaign with a 3-3 draw away to AIK in January’s friendly build-up, then went through a decent Svenska Cupen group stage with a 3-0 win over Trelleborgs FF, a 1-1 draw against Östersunds FK and a 3-1 defeat away to IFK Göteborg. That cup run hinted at some attacking life, even if the structure wasn’t always there. Then came the league. A 3-0 home loss to IK Sirius was a real setback. Flat, blunt, unconvincing. The kind of result that lingers.

The response was much better. On 12 April, Degerfors went to Halmstads BK and won 3-0, and that’s the kind of away performance a manager can actually build on. Henok Goitom’s side were efficient, ruthless when it mattered, and far more disciplined than they’d been in the defeat to Sirius. Daniel Sundgren opened the scoring before Sebastian Ohlsson doubled the lead, and Marcus Rafferty sealed it in stoppage time. The underlying numbers were tidy too: 1.70 xG for and just 0.31 against, with 10 shots to 6 and a clear edge in big chances. That wasn’t luck. It was a proper away win.

The problem is what’s happened at home. Degerfors are 15th in the home table after one league game, and they’ve already conceded three without scoring. That’ll worry Goitom more than anything else. They’ve now gone through a stretch where their matches have tended to open up — five of their last five have gone over 2.5 goals, and that isn’t a random run. They can create enough to trouble teams, but they’re also giving opponents too many clean looks. At Stora Valla, that’s a dangerous habit. One home defeat doesn’t define a season. But if they repeat it here, the pattern starts to look familiar.

IF Elfsborg Form & Analysis

IF Elfsborg come into this one in better shape, even if their last league outing ended in a draw. On 11 April they visited Västerås SK and came away with a 2-2 result in a game that never really settled. They led, fought back, and then conceded late, which is a familiar frustration for any side with ambition. Still, it kept their unbeaten league start alive. Before that, they beat IFK Göteborg 2-0 at home, a result that carried the feel of a team beginning to impose itself on the division.

Their broader run is decent too. Since their Svenska Cupen exit against IK Sirius on 8 March, Elfsborg have strung together four unbeaten matches in all competitions, with wins over GIF Sundsvall, AIK, Östers IF and IFK Göteborg, plus that draw at Västerås. It’s not flawless, and the cup defeat to Sirius at home was a reminder that they’re not bulletproof, but Björn Hamberg’s side have shown enough consistency to suggest they won’t be overawed by a trip like this. They’ve scored in four straight competitive games and have looked capable of finding a way through even when they’re not dominant.

Away from home, the league record is still only small-sample stuff, but it’s not bad. Elfsborg are 7th in the away table with one point from one match, scoring twice and conceding twice. The raw numbers don’t scream control, and that’s the point. They’re not shutting games down yet, but they are carrying enough threat to trouble a home side that’s already been exposed defensively. Marcus Baggesen and Thomas Isherwood have been involved in the recent attacking flow from deeper positions and set-piece moments, while the late equaliser at Västerås showed the squad’s willingness to keep pushing. Can they do it on the road again? They should fancy it.

The flip side is that Elfsborg aren’t exactly stingy. They’ve conceded in both league matches and in three of their last four competitive outings. That’s the crack in the door for Degerfors. Mind you, it doesn’t change the basic picture all that much. Elfsborg are the stronger side, the more settled side, and the one with more room to absorb a messy game. If this turns into an end-to-end scrap, they’ll probably like that too. It plays into their hands more than Degerfors’.

Head-to-Head

This fixture has leaned slightly in Elfsborg’s favour over time, but it hasn’t been one-way traffic. The most recent meeting went Degerfors’ way, with a 2-1 win at Elfsborg in September 2025, and that should give the hosts a bit of confidence. Before that, though, Elfsborg had taken the April 2025 league meeting 1-0 in Degerfors, and they also put four past them in a 4-1 friendly win in March 2025.

The pattern underneath is pretty clear. These games usually have goals. Five of the last six meetings have gone over 2.5, and both teams have scored in seven of the last eight. That’s a strong trend, and it fits the way both clubs have started this season. You don’t need much imagination to see chances at both ends again.

We Predict: Double Chance X2

We’re backing Double Chance X2 at 4/11 here, and it’s the safest angle in a game that still has enough volatility to make a straight away win a little uncomfortable. Elfsborg are unbeaten in the league, have taken four points from six, and have only lost one of their last five in all competitions. Degerfors have just one home league game under their belt, and they were beaten 3-0 in it. That’s a poor sign when you’re facing a side with a better rhythm and a more stable record.

The other reason to lean away is simple enough. Elfsborg have scored in every competitive match they’ve played since the cup loss to Sirius, and Degerfors haven’t shown enough at home to suggest they can keep this tight for 90 minutes. The 1-2 correct score feels about right, with Elfsborg’s extra edge in quality and consistency tipping things their way. If you want a slightly bolder alternative, both teams to score has obvious appeal given the H2H trend and the way both defences have started the season. Still, X2 is the cleaner play.

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