FK Spartak Subotica welcome FK IMT Beograd on Saturday evening in the Mozzart Bet Superliga’s Relegation Round, and the contrast in mood is stark. Spartak are trying to stop a collapse that has dragged them into real trouble, while IMT arrive with the sort of form that makes life awkward for anyone facing them right now. One side is searching for an answer. The other has found a rhythm.
That matters even more at this stage of the season. Relegation-round football is rarely pretty, but it is usually honest. Every point has weight, every mistake gets punished, and neither club can hide behind the usual comfort of a long league campaign. Spartak sit 7th overall on 21 points, with a miserable 4 wins from 35 and a goal difference that tells its own story. IMT are top of the group on 46 points, and while their season has had rough patches, they’ve built enough of a cushion and enough momentum to travel with confidence.
The first meeting between these sides this spring finished 1-0 to IMT in Subotica back in March. That was no accident. They’ve handled this matchup well in recent seasons, and they’ll fancy repeating the trick against a Spartak side that’s been leaking goals all over the place. The numbers aren’t flattering for the hosts. Not at all.
FK Spartak Subotica Form & Analysis
Spartak’s recent run has been brutal. They’ve lost their last six, and that doesn’t even fully capture the flatness of the performances. At home to Napredak Kruševac on 10 May, they were beaten 3-0 and spent long spells chasing shadows. A week earlier they went away to Mladost Lučani and came back with a 2-1 defeat, then got smashed 4-0 at Radnički 1923 before losing 4-1 at home to TSC Bačka Topola. Go back a bit further and the picture doesn’t improve. They were edged 1-0 by Javor Ivanjica and even the trip to Crvena zvezda ended in another defeat, 3-2, despite finding the net twice. Six losses. No escape. That’s the reality.
There’s been a long, slow unraveling here. Spartak haven’t won in eight matches now, and their last victory came all the way back on 14 March at Radnički Niš, where they managed a 2-0 away win that feels like a different season. Since then, the back line has gone soft and the confidence has drained out of the side. At home this season, they’ve managed just 2 wins, 4 draws and 11 defeats, scoring 21 and conceding 40. That’s relegation form in plain English. They don’t control games at their own ground, and once they fall behind, they rarely look capable of forcing their way back in.
The worrying part is that the poor results aren’t just about bad luck. Against Napredak, they produced only 0.66 xG and allowed 3.04 at the other end. That’s a hiding, even if the final score already said as much. Spartak have now gone nine matches without a clean sheet, and they’re first to concede far too often. You can see why this is a side opponents fancy taking on. They’re open, they’re fragile, and they’re conceding first with alarming regularity. That’s a dangerous mix.
FK IMT Beograd Form & Analysis
IMT arrive in the opposite mood. Their last six reads like a side that’s harder to beat than it is to love, but when you’re top of a relegation round that’s hardly a problem. They opened with a 0-0 draw at home to Radnički 1923 on 10 May, then took another goalless point away at Javor Ivanjica. Before that, they beat Radnički Niš 2-0 at home and had already picked up an away win at Napredak Kruševac, 1-0, on 23 April. A home draw with Mladost Lučani came before that, and they’d earlier won 3-1 away at TSC Bačka Topola. Solid. Disciplined. Annoying to face.
They’re unbeaten in eight now, and the bigger point is that the run isn’t just built on draws. There’s enough bite in it. Away from home, IMT have collected 5 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats overall, with 20 goals scored and 32 conceded on the road. That’s not elite away dominance, but it’s a respectable platform, especially when compared with Spartak’s home struggles. They don’t need to overwhelm opponents. They keep shape, wait for the opening, and usually take their chance. That’s the kind of away profile that travels well in this division.
The recent goalless draw against Radnički 1923 also hinted at another useful trait: they can manage games without having to chase them. The xG at 1/10 to 0.56 wasn’t spectacular, but it was tidy enough, and they didn’t panic when the chance count stayed low. Mind you, this is also why their matches have often been tight. They’ve gone under 2.5 goals in five straight, and that pattern fits what we’ve seen away from home. They’re not a free-scoring team. They just look far less likely to implode than Spartak do.
Head-to-Head
This matchup has leaned IMT’s way lately, and that matters. The most recent meeting on 8 March ended 1-0 to IMT in Subotica, which should immediately catch the eye given where this game is being played. Before that, they also beat Spartak 1-0 at home in October 2025. Two straight wins without conceding against the same opponent. That’s the sort of edge you don’t ignore.
There has been a little more variety further back, with Spartak winning 4-2 at IMT in April 2025 and also taking a 2-1 away win earlier in the season before that. But the recent trend is the one that counts most here. IMT have found ways to shut Spartak down, and the scorelines across this fixture often stay modest. Five of the last seven meetings finished under 2.5 goals. That fits the current shape of both sides too.
We Predict: Away Win
We’re backing the Away Win at 4/9 here. It’s short, yes, but it’s also justified. IMT are unbeaten in eight, they’ve just kept Radnički 1923 and Javor quiet in the same week, and they’ve already beaten Spartak twice in a row without conceding. Spartak, by contrast, are on a six-match losing run and have gone nine without a clean sheet. That’s a brutal combination to back at home.
The projected 1-2 scoreline feels about right. Spartak should get chances — they usually do at home, and IMT aren’t perfect away from their own ground — but the hosts have been far too loose at the back to trust. IMT don’t need to run away with it. One clean first half, one decent spell after the break, and they can edge another result. If you want a slightly safer angle, IMT to win or draw would be the conservative route, but the straight away victory is the play.
