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Granada host Almería at the Nuevo Los Cármenes on Sunday evening, 26 April 2026, with both sides still chasing something meaningful in LaLiga 2, just at very different ends of the table. Granada sit 14th on 45 points, far enough from the danger zone to breathe but nowhere near the playoff places, while Almería arrive in fourth with 64 points and a real shot at promotion. For the visitors, this is about keeping pressure on the top three. For Granada, it’s about finishing a frustrating season with some pride and maybe spoiling a rival’s run.
There’s more spice to it than the standings suggest. These two have been meeting regularly in a series that rarely disappoints, and the earlier clash this season ended in a 3-2 win for Almería in January. That one had goals, twists and no shortage of drama. You’d expect more of the same here. Granada have been lively enough at home all season, while Almería have been one of the division’s more dangerous away sides, even if they’ve also shown they can be opened up. Goals look very likely. That part feels pretty obvious.
Granada’s recent form has been messy, but not dull. They went to Albacete on 19 April and came away battered in a 4-1 defeat, a game that flipped quickly after they’d actually started with some bite. Before that, they’d beaten Cultural Leonesa 1-0 at home, a useful result that briefly steadied things after a 3-2 defeat away to Castellón and a 2-0 loss at Las Palmas. Go back a little further and there was a 4-2 home win over Huesca, plus a 2-0 victory at Real Sociedad B. So the pattern is clear enough: Granada can score, they can also make a match chaotic, and they don’t often keep things neat for long.
At home, though, they’ve been competitive. Their record at the Nuevo Los Cármenes reads six wins, eight draws and four losses, with 25 goals scored and 18 conceded. That’s not the sort of home return that terrifies anyone, but it’s respectable. They’ve picked up points regularly enough on their own ground, and the goal count tells you they’ve usually found a way to trouble visiting defences. The problem is that draws have crowded them out. A team sitting on eight home stalemates doesn’t need much telling — they’ve often lacked the killer touch to turn good spells into wins.
The defensive numbers are fairly decent at home, too, though the recent trend is a little less reassuring. Granada’s latest outing in Albacete was a reminder that when games open up, they’re vulnerable. They ended up allowing four goals from an xGA of 1.89, which is a brutal punishment, even if the underlying figures weren’t outrageous. The attack, by contrast, remains dangerous enough to expect chances. They scored once there, have scored in most of their recent games, and their home profile suggests they’ll have a say in this one. Clean sheet? That’s a different matter. Granada don’t keep many of those, and against an Almería side this strong going forward, that matters.
Almería come into this in much healthier shape at the top end of the table, and their recent run has been properly entertaining. They beat Málaga 3-2 at home on 19 April in a game that had a bit of everything. They weren’t perfect, but they were sharp when it counted, scoring three times from an xG of 1.94 and riding out a tight contest right to the end. Before that came a 5-1 loss at Real Racing Club, which was ugly, and a 2-1 home win over Leganés. Go a little further back and you find a 2-0 defeat at Castellón, a 5-1 home win over Real Sociedad B, and a 3-1 success at Huesca. That’s a proper rollercoaster. Still, the general picture is of a side that scores freely and usually backs itself to win open games.
Away from home, Almería’s record is good without being bulletproof. Six wins, five draws and seven defeats, with 24 goals scored and 28 conceded, tells you they’re dangerous but not exactly watertight on the road. They’ve been able to win away from home in bursts, and when they hit their stride they can really hurt teams, but the defensive side of the away game has been the weak link. Conceding 28 away goals is a warning light. It’s not a red one, but it’s bright enough.
That said, the attacking output is hard to ignore. Almería have 70 league goals overall, which is a serious return at this level, and the names in their recent scorelines point to a team that creates enough to score in most fixtures. Their last match against Málaga ended with five different goal involvements across the final third and enough pressure to win despite some late nerves. They’ve also shown a stubborn knack for finding the net even on tricky trips. The flip side? They’ve kept too few clean sheets to be trusted blindly. Against teams that can play through them, they’re exposed. Granada can do that when they’re on the front foot.
These two know each other well, and the recent meetings have been properly goal-heavy. Almería edged the January meeting 3-2, while Granada won 3-1 at home in April 2025. Before that, Almería won 2-1 in November 2024, and the sides have also shared a 1-1 draw in LaLiga and a 3-3 thriller in 2023. That’s a consistent pattern, not a fluke.
The bigger trend is hard to miss. Their recent clashes keep producing goals at both ends, and neither side has made a habit of shutting the other out. Five of the last five head-to-head meetings listed here saw both teams score. That’s not a small sample for this kind of preview. It’s the sort of history that leans straight into the betting angle here.
We’re backing Both Teams To Score at 4/7 for this one. It’s a fair price, and probably shorter than some would like, but the case is strong. Granada have found the net regularly at home and don’t look like a side built for clean sheets. Almería, meanwhile, have the firepower to score in almost any away game, yet their road defence is far too porous to trust. Put those together and BTTS feels like the right call.
The projected 2-1 scoreline fits nicely with both the numbers and the feel of the fixture. Granada’s home scoring record gives them a route into the game, but Almería’s stronger overall quality should still carry enough threat to land at least once. If you want a slight alternative, Over 2.5 Goals has plenty of appeal too, especially with the recent head-to-head pattern and both teams’ habit of playing open, end-to-end football. Still, BTTS is the cleaner play.
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