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Osasuna vs Sevilla Prediction & Betting Tips 26.04.2026

Football PredictionsLaLigaLaLiga • Spain
Osasuna logo
Osasuna
26 Apr19:30R 1
00:00:00
Sevilla logo
Sevilla
PredictionStatisticsOddsLineupsStandingsH2H

Match form loads a moment after the page opens so the main prediction can appear first; recent results are fetched right after.

Osasuna — Last 6
Sevilla — Last 6

Osasuna host Sevilla in LaLiga on Sunday evening, 26 April 2026, with both clubs feeling the pressure for very different reasons. Osasuna sit 10th with 39 points and still have a live chance of pushing into the top half in the run-in, while Sevilla are down in 17th on 34 points and looking over their shoulder rather than up at the European places. That gap in the table matters. So does the mood around both teams.

For Osasuna, this is the sort of home game they’ve got to turn into points. Alessio Lisci’s side have been solid at El Sadar all season, and their home record is the main reason they’re not dragged into a relegation scrap. Sevilla, under Luis Garcia, arrive with an away record that is respectable on paper but too leaky to inspire much confidence. They’ve lost more than they’ve won on the road, and they’ve been conceding too many cheap goals. That won’t help them here.

Osasuna Form & Analysis

Osasuna come into this one without a win in three, but that doesn’t quite tell the whole story. Their trip to Athletic Club on 21 April ended in a narrow 1-0 defeat, and even there they weren’t rolled over. It was a tight game, one in which Osasuna fashioned chances of their own and stayed in it right to the end. The frustration came from fine margins. A missed Ante Budimir penalty and a VAR-cancelled spot-kick were both part of the story. Fine margins, yes. But still a loss.

Before that, they drew 1-1 at home to Real Betis on 12 April, then came away from Deportivo Alavés with a 2-2 draw on 5 April. That little run says plenty about Osasuna right now: they’re hard to put away, but they’re not exactly killing teams off either. Earlier in March, they beat Girona 1-0 at home, which remains their last victory, and that was the kind of controlled, workmanlike result that fits their season. A 3-1 defeat at Real Sociedad and a 2-2 home draw with Mallorca rounded out the recent sequence. It’s been competitive, but rarely clean.

At home, though, Osasuna are a different proposition. Their league record at El Sadar reads eight wins, five draws and only two defeats, with 26 goals scored and 17 conceded. That’s a proper home base. They’ve been much more reliable in front of their own crowd than on the road, and the numbers line up with the eye test: they press with more conviction, get into the box more often, and usually find a way to make games awkward for visiting sides. They’ve also been stubborn enough to keep most matches in range. That matters in a fixture like this.

Still, there’s a nagging issue. Osasuna haven’t kept a clean sheet in three, and their overall profile is one of control rather than dominance. They’re not blowing teams away. Their league tally of 37 goals scored and 39 conceded tells the story of a side that can compete but rarely has much margin for error. If they start slowly, they can be dragged into a scrap. If they get the first goal, they’re much harder to live with. Simple game, really.

Sevilla Form & Analysis

Sevilla’s recent run has been messy. They went to Levante on 23 April and lost 2-0, and the scoreline felt pretty fair given the balance of play. They struggled to create anything of note, failed to register a shot on target, and never looked settled after Levante took control. Before that came a decent 2-1 home win over Atlético Madrid on 11 April — a result that should have given them a lift — but they didn’t build on it. That’s been the problem all season. One step forward, then two back.

Their earlier defeats paint a bleak enough picture. They lost 1-0 away to Real Oviedo, went down 2-0 at home to Valencia, and were hammered 5-2 by Barcelona away from home. The 1-1 draw with Rayo Vallecano on 8 March was the only point in that stretch that didn’t come with disappointment attached. Even when Sevilla have shown a bit of life, they haven’t sustained it. Can they keep it together for 90 minutes? Right now, the answer looks like no.

Away from home, Sevilla’s record is patchier than the table might first suggest. They’ve picked up 15 points on the road from four wins, three draws and nine losses, with 18 scored and 30 conceded. That’s not disastrous, but the defensive return is poor and it drags them down. Conceding 30 away goals is a heavy burden, especially against a home side as organised as Osasuna. Luis Garcia’s team do have enough attacking threat to nick a goal in a lot of games — they’ve scored 39 in the league overall — but the back line keeps letting them down. They’ve gone seven straight matches without a clean sheet. Seven. That’s the sort of run that follows you around.

The issue isn’t just the raw goals against total, either. Sevilla often seem to invite pressure early and then chase the game. They’ve been first to concede in four of their last five, which is a nasty habit on the road. If Osasuna get on top in the opening stages, Sevilla will have to open up, and that’s when the gaps appear. You wouldn’t fancy them in that scenario.

Head-to-Head

These two have played out a few tight meetings in recent seasons, and there’s a clear pattern: goals are usually scarce. Sevilla beat Osasuna 1-0 in Seville on 8 November 2025, but Osasuna won the reverse fixture 1-0 in Pamplona in April 2025. Before that there were two 1-1 draws in league meetings, a 0-0 in Pamplona, and Osasuna even edged a 3-2 win at Sevilla in February 2023.

That said, the strongest thread is the low scoring trend. The last five league meetings between them have all finished under 2.5 goals. That’s hard to ignore. These games tend to be tight, tense and a bit scruffy rather than open and wild.

We Predict: Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X at 2/9 is the play here, and it’s a short price for good reason. Osasuna’s home record is far stronger than Sevilla’s away form, and the gap in defensive security is pretty obvious. Lisci’s side don’t need to be brilliant to avoid defeat here. They just need to be organised, and they usually are at El Sadar.

The scoreline feels like a low-scoring draw, with 1-1 the best call. Osasuna’s home strength and Sevilla’s habit of conceding away from home pull in opposite directions, but the safest read is that the hosts won’t lose. If you want a slightly bolder angle, under 2.5 goals has a real case too, given the recent head-to-head trend and the way both teams have been grinding through matches rather than controlling them.

Recent matches

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Team statistics for both teams

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