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Radomiak Radom vs KS Lechia Gdańsk Prediction & Betting Tips 04.05.2026

Football PredictionsEkstraklasaEkstraklasa
Radomiak Radom logo
Radomiak Radom
04 May20:00R 1
00:00:00
KS Lechia Gdańsk logo
KS Lechia Gdańsk
PredictionStatisticsOddsLineupsStandingsH2H

Match form loads a moment after the page opens so the main prediction can appear first; recent results are fetched right after.

Radomiak Radom — Last 6
KS Lechia Gdańsk — Last 6

Radomiak Radom welcome KS Lechia Gdańsk to the Stadion Radomiaka on Monday evening in a straight Ekstraklasa meeting with real weight at both ends of the table. Radomiak sit eighth on 40 points, which is respectable enough, but the chase for a stronger finish is still alive. Lechia are 13th on 38 points and can’t afford to drift. One win or one bad night can still swing the picture sharply in a league that’s been tight all season.

There’s a clean narrative here. Radomiak have built a strong platform at home, while Lechia have been much more fragile on the road. That’s the angle that matters. Bruno Baltazar’s side come in with a compact recent run and the kind of home numbers that immediately catch the eye, while John Carver’s Lechia are still too open away from Gdańsk and haven’t quite found the sort of control that would make them reliable travellers.

The two clubs have already produced some lively meetings in recent years, and this one feels no different on paper. Radomiak’s home edge, Lechia’s need for points, and the scoring patterns on both sides point towards a match with chances at both ends. That’s where the betting angle begins to sharpen.

Radomiak Radom Form & Analysis

Radomiak’s last six league matches have had a bit of everything, but the overall shape is decent. They started with a 1-1 draw at home to Legia Warszawa on 13 March, then went to Piast Gliwice and lost 3-1 on 20 March. The response was mixed rather than dramatic: a 1-1 draw with Motor Lublin at home on 6 April, a narrow 1-0 defeat away to Zagłębie Lubin on 11 April, and then back-to-back wins over Widzew Łódź and Wisła Płock. The Widzew result was a proper lift, a 2-1 home win on 18 April, and the latest outing brought a tidy 1-0 away success at Wisła Płock on 26 April.

That sequence tells you quite a bit. Radomiak aren’t blasting sides away every week, but they’ve become hard to push around and they’re more than capable of finding a goal when it matters. Maurides’ late winner at Wisła Płock was a good example of that. They stayed in the game, kept their shape, and took their chance. Simple enough. Effective too.

The home record is the main reason they’ll fancy this. Radomiak are fourth in the league on home form, with eight wins, four draws and only three defeats at their ground. They’ve scored 29 home goals and conceded just 14, which is a very solid split. That defensive base is the real selling point. They’re not perfect, but they don’t tend to fold in front of their own crowd, and the home crowd has seen enough goals to keep things lively.

There’s a slight tension in their wider profile. Overall, Radomiak’s season numbers are balanced rather than dominant: 10 wins, 10 draws and 10 defeats, with 46 scored and 43 conceded. They’ve also kept a fairly steady rhythm rather than going on any wild streak. That’s fine. At home, though, they’ve been far more convincing than their mid-table league position might suggest. Against a Lechia side who rarely travel well, that gives them a very live chance of controlling the match without necessarily shutting it down.

KS Lechia Gdańsk Form & Analysis

Lechia’s recent run is noisier. They beat Korona Kielce 4-2 at home on 6 April, which looked like a proper statement, but since then the momentum has slipped away. A 1-0 defeat at Wisła Płock followed on 10 April, then a 1-1 home draw with Piast Gliwice on 20 April, and a 2-1 home loss to Raków Częstochowa on 25 April. Before that little wobble, they’d also beaten Pogoń Szczecin 2-1 at home on 21 March. You can see the problem straight away. They’ve got enough attack in them to trouble opponents, but the results aren’t sticking together.

The Raków game summed it up well. Lechia actually took the lead early through Tomáš Bobček’s penalty in the 10th minute, but they couldn’t hang on. Raków levelled through Oskar Repka and then grabbed the winner deep into stoppage time via Jonatan Braut Brunes. Lechia had moments, and they had a decent number of shots on target, but they didn’t manage the game well enough. That’s a familiar weakness. When pressure builds, they leave space, and opponents find a way back in.

Away from home, the numbers are even less reassuring. Lechia’s away record sits 12th in the division, with just four wins, three draws and seven defeats. They’ve scored 22 away goals and conceded 31. That’s not a base built for steady travelling. It’s leaky, and it invites trouble. Mind you, they do carry some threat going forward — their overall tally of 57 goals is one of the stronger attacking returns in the league — but that same attacking ambition has left them exposed far too often. Can they keep it tight in Radom? The recent evidence says no.

There’s also a pattern worth respecting. Lechia have gone three matches without a win, and they haven’t kept a clean sheet in six. That’s not the sort of run you want to take into a ground where the hosts are so comfortable. Even when Lechia score, they rarely look settled enough to protect it. That’s the issue here. They’ll create chances, but they’re carrying too much defensive baggage to trust blindly.

Head-to-Head

These two have developed a habit of producing goals. Radomiak beat Lechia 2-1 in Gdańsk on 3 November 2025, and they also won 2-1 in Radom in March 2025. Go a little further back and the pattern stays similar: Lechia lost 3-1 at home in February 2023, Radomiak won 4-1 in Radom in August 2022, and there was a 2-2 draw in Gdańsk in August 2021. That’s a healthy spread of matches, but the headline is hard to miss. Radomiak have usually had the better of this fixture.

The scoring trend is the louder part. Five of the last six meetings between the sides have featured both teams scoring, and five of those six have gone over 2.5 goals. That fits the shape of this game almost too neatly. Neither side tends to make it boring when they meet, and the defensive patterns from both camps only strengthen that case.

We Predict: Both Teams To Score

We’re backing Both Teams To Score at 4/7 for this one. If you want to widen the search beyond this pick, our football tips hub pulls together our main football tips hub with singles, goals picks and combo angles in one place. It’s the cleanest angle on the card. Radomiak’s home record is strong, but they haven’t turned into a shut-down side, and Lechia’s away games keep producing chances at both ends. That’s the key point. One side is usually good for a goal, and the other often obliges too.

The recent head-to-head pattern pushes the same way, with BTTS landing in five of the last six meetings. Add Lechia’s six-game run without a clean sheet and Radomiak’s tendency to concede first in plenty of fixtures, and the case is pretty straightforward. A 2-1 Radomiak win feels the most natural scoreline. If you’re looking for something a touch bolder, over 2.5 goals also has appeal, but BTTS is the sharper play.

Recent matches

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League

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Radomiak Radom

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KS Lechia Gdańsk

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Team statistics for both teams

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