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Sligo Rovers vs St. Patrick's Athletic Prediction & Betting Tips 04.05.2026

Football PredictionsPremier DivisionPremier Division
Sligo Rovers logo
Sligo Rovers
04 May19:00R 1
1:1
FT
St. Patrick's Athletic logo
St. Patrick's Athletic
PredictionStatisticsOddsLineupsMatch StatsDetailsStandingsH2H

Match form loads a moment after the page opens so the main prediction can appear first; recent results are fetched right after.

Sligo Rovers — Last 6
St. Patrick's Athletic — Last 6

Sligo Rovers welcome St. Patrick’s Athletic to the Showgrounds on Monday evening, 4 May 2026, with the Premier Division table already giving this one a very different feel for each side. Sligo sit 9th on 14 points and are looking over their shoulder, while St. Patrick’s Athletic are 2nd on 27 points and still very much in the hunt at the top end. One side needs momentum before the pressure ramps up. The other wants to keep the title push alive.

There’s a bit of recent history to lean on too. These teams met at Richmond Park on 3 April, when St. Patrick’s Athletic ran out 4-1 winners, and that result is part of a trend that has tilted this fixture towards the Dublin club. Still, Sligo have already shown they can trouble Stephen Kenny’s side at home in the past, so this isn’t a complete no-contest. It’s just that the gap in league position, goals and overall control feels pretty clear.

For John Russell’s team, the main question is simple: can they make this a proper scrap, or will Pat’s dictate the tempo again? For St. Patrick’s Athletic, it’s about turning a strong away record into another clean, efficient away performance. They don’t need to be brilliant. They just need to be themselves.

Sligo Rovers Form & Analysis

Sligo’s recent form has been a strange mix. They bounced back from the heavy 4-1 defeat at St. Patrick’s Athletic on 3 April with a goalless draw at home to Derry City, then found a proper groove in back-to-back home wins over Waterford and Dundalk, both by 2-0 scorelines. That looked like a team settling down. Then came the sharp reminder that they’re still a work in progress: a 1-0 defeat away to Drogheda United on 1 May, decided by Mark Doyle’s early goal. One game can swing a mood. That one did.

At the Showgrounds, there’s at least some resilience. Sligo’s home record stands at three wins, one draw and three defeats, with six goals scored and eight conceded. That’s not a fortress by any stretch, but it’s solid enough to keep them in games. They’ve also been tighter at home than they have overall, which matters here. The problem is that six home goals in seven league matches isn’t much to work with, and you can see why they’ve struggled to climb away from the lower end of the table. They’re not getting enough output to match decent defensive spells.

The broader numbers paint the same picture. Sligo have scored only 10 league goals all season, while conceding 18. That’s a poor attacking return and it leaves them needing near-perfect efficiency to win matches. They can keep things compact — the 0-0 with Derry was proof of that — but once they fall behind, they don’t look built to chase games down. Their last six have included a pair of home wins, which is encouraging, yet the shape of their season still suggests a side more comfortable keeping a contest low and tense than turning it into a shootout. Three of their last four league games have finished with fewer than three goals. That’s not an accident.

The challenge now is obvious. Can they handle St. Patrick’s Athletic’s movement and quality in the final third without being dragged into open space? At home, they’ve usually kept matches respectable. They’ll need that again. Anything looser, and Pat’s will punish them.

St. Patrick’s Athletic Form & Analysis

St. Patrick’s Athletic come into this off a 2-2 draw away to Galway United, and it was the sort of draw that leaves a manager with mixed feelings. They led through Ryan Edmondson after 13 minutes, then Chris Forrester put them in front again just after half-time, only for Galway to keep finding an answer. Aaron Bolger rescued a point deep into stoppage time. That says a lot about Pat’s right now. They’re hard to beat, they keep creating, and they don’t panic when a game turns messy. They also know how to stay in the fight.

Before that, Stephen Kenny’s side beat Bohemian FC 3-1 at home and Drogheda United 3-1 away, which followed a narrow 1-0 home defeat to Shamrock Rovers. That’s a useful reminder not to overstate the odd wobble. This is still a team with a strong edge. The season record backs that up: second in the table, 27 points from 14 matches, 26 goals scored and only 13 conceded. They’ve got the kind of balance that usually keeps a side in the top bracket. When they’re sharp, they score in bunches. When they’re not at their best, they still usually stay competitive.

Their away record is good too. Three wins, two draws and two defeats on the road, with 10 goals scored and nine conceded, gives them one of the better travelling returns in the division. That’s important here because they don’t need home comfort to produce. They’re perfectly happy taking the game to opponents away from Dublin, and the figures suggest they usually find chances even when they’re not controlling every phase. They’ve scored in five of their last six league matches, and that steady output is why they’ve been able to stay near the top.

The only real caution is that they’re not completely watertight away from home. Nine goals conceded in seven away matches is decent, not elite. So while Pat’s have the attacking quality to hurt Sligo, they’re not immune to giving the hosts a look or two. If Sligo can drag them into a more open contest, there’s a route for both sides to land.

Head-to-Head

This fixture has leaned St. Patrick’s Athletic’s way more often than not, and the most recent meeting only reinforced that. On 3 April, Pat’s thumped Sligo 4-1 at home, a result that fit the pattern of their recent dominance in the pair’s meetings. Before that, Sligo did get one over on them with a 1-0 home win on 27 September 2025, so it’s not all one-way traffic. But that victory has been the exception rather than the rule.

Looking back over the last eight league meetings, St. Patrick’s Athletic have won five, with Sligo taking three. More often than not, the games have been competitive, but Pat’s have had the better of the bigger moments — and the bigger scorelines. There’s also been a decent goal count in several of those matches, which is one reason the BTTS angle has a fair bit of appeal here. This rivalry hasn’t been dull lately. It’s usually got something in it.

We Predict: Both Teams To Score

We’re backing Both Teams To Score at 10/11 here. If you want more detail on hedge betting, our hedge betting guide breaks down hedge betting if you want to understand how traders manage exposure later in the cycle. That price is fair enough for a game that carries enough attacking threat on both sides, even if the table suggests a mismatch. Sligo have scored in spells at home and should get at least one sight of goal, while St. Patrick’s Athletic have found the net in five of their last six league outings and have enough quality to hurt a side sitting 9th.

The case is pretty straightforward. Sligo’s home record isn’t terrible, but they do concede, and Pat’s have a strong away return with 10 goals on the road already. Throw in the recent 4-1 meeting in April and the fact that Stephen Kenny’s side are creating chances regularly, and this feels like a match where both keepers are likely to be busy. A 1-2 away win looks the likeliest scoreline. Pat’s have the sharper edge, but Sligo can nick one and keep this market alive.

If you want a slightly safer angle, St. Patrick’s Athletic on the draw no bet route would also be worth a look. But the better price play is BTTS.

Recent matches

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Sligo Rovers

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St. Patrick's Athletic

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Team statistics for both teams

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Sligo Rovers
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St. Patrick's Athletic
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0%Clean sheet0%
0%Failed to score0%
0%BTTS0%
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