SV Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg Prediction & Betting Tips 02.05.2026

SV Werder Bremen host FC Augsburg at the Weserstadion on Saturday afternoon in the Bundesliga, with both sides chasing a stronger finish to the season. Bremen sit 12th on 32 points, while Augsburg are a place above them in 9th on 37. That gap is only five points, so this isn’t just about pride or mid-table status. It’s about keeping some daylight between themselves and the lower half, and maybe nudging toward a more comfortable final run-in.

For Daniel Thioune’s Bremen, the picture is pretty straightforward: they’re not in danger, but they’re also not exactly in control of their own destiny. Augsburg, under Manuel Baum, have collected a few more points and look the slightly steadier side in the table, yet their away record leaves plenty to chew on. Both teams have conceded too many. Both have been open enough to keep neutrals interested. That tends to matter when the main betting angle is Both Teams To Score.

There’s also a bit of recent history to consider. The last meeting between these sides, in December, finished 0-0 in Augsburg, but the broader run has swung both ways, with Bremen and Augsburg trading wins and the odd low-scoring draw. Not much separates them on paper. On the pitch, though, Bremen at home and Augsburg away have both been messy enough to point toward goals at both ends.

SV Werder Bremen Form & Analysis

Bremen arrive here with a form line that tells a familiar modern Bundesliga story: capable of troubling anyone, but rarely solid for long enough to turn that into a proper run. Their last six league games have produced a draw away at Stuttgart, a 3-1 home win over Hamburger SV, defeats at Köln and at home to RB Leipzig, a narrow away win at Wolfsburg, and a 2-0 home loss to Mainz. That’s a fairly blunt mix. A bit of life going forward. Plenty of volatility at the back. Not much in the way of control.

The Stuttgart draw on 26 April summed them up quite well. Bremen scored early through Jens Stage and then got pulled into a difficult game, only to level through Ermedin Demirović after the break and leave with a point. The underlying numbers were not especially pretty — they posted just 0.93 xG and allowed 1.82, while Stuttgart hammered away with 20 shots to Bremen’s nine. Still, they found a way to stay in it. That’s something. It also felt like another reminder that Bremen can be dangerous when the game opens up.

At home, the record is decent without being impressive: five wins, four draws and six defeats, with 18 goals scored and 26 conceded. That’s the key issue. They’ve scored enough to stay competitive at the Weserstadion, but they’ve also been too easy to rattle. You don’t need to overcomplicate it. If Bremen score, they usually still give the other side a route into the game. Their current run also fits the broader pattern: they’ve lost four and won only once in their last six, but they’ve also gone two matches unbeaten since that Köln defeat. They’re not collapsing. They’re just not convincing either.

Still, there’s enough in Bremen’s recent home work to think they can land a punch here. The 3-1 win over Hamburg was not a fluke. They created enough, found the net three times, and looked far more direct than they did in the disappointing losses to Mainz and Leipzig. If Thioune’s side can hit that level again, they’ll cause Augsburg problems. The flip side? Their defensive numbers at home are poor, and that makes a clean sheet feel very unlikely.

FC Augsburg Form & Analysis

Augsburg come into this one without a loss in four league games, and that alone gives them a steadier look than Bremen. Their recent run has included a home draw with Eintracht Frankfurt, a 2-1 away win at Bayer Leverkusen, a 2-2 draw with Hoffenheim, another draw away to Hamburger SV, and earlier defeats to Stuttgart and Dortmund. It’s a mixed bag, but the trend is better than it first appears. The win in Leverkusen mattered. Really mattered. You don’t beat a side like that by accident.

The Frankfurt draw last time out was another decent performance, even if it didn’t bring maximum reward. Augsburg created enough to justify a point, and their xG of 2.00 was more than respectable. They didn’t exactly shut Frankfurt down — they allowed 1.11 xGA and saw their opponents register seven shots on target — but they were dangerous enough in transition and had the sharper moments in the final third. Anton Kade’s first-half goal gave them a foothold, and they kept pushing after Ritsu Doan levelled things up. That’s the sort of resilience you need if you’re going to nick points away from the big boys.

Away from home, Augsburg’s numbers are middling rather than disastrous: four wins, two draws and nine defeats, with 17 goals scored and 28 conceded. That’s not a great return, and it does leave them vulnerable here. But it’s also not the profile of a side that folds every time it leaves home. They’ve scored in enough away games to keep themselves alive, and that matters for this market. You don’t get to 17 away goals by being timid. Mind you, the defensive side is a problem. Conceding 28 on the road is a heavy ask, especially against a Bremen side that usually finds a way to create chances at the Weserstadion.

Augsburg’s recent streaks are worth a glance, too. They’ve gone four without a defeat since that Stuttgart hammering in March, and they’ve also failed to keep a clean sheet in seven straight matches. That last part stands out. It’s hard to trust them to shut anyone out right now, and it’s especially hard to trust them away from home. The positive angle is obvious enough: they keep finding goals. The negative one is louder. They keep giving them away too.

Head-to-Head

The recent meetings between these two have been a proper mixed bag. Augsburg held Bremen to a 0-0 draw in December, which was the latest chapter in a sequence that’s swung from Bremen dominance to Augsburg resistance. Bremen beat Augsburg 3-0 away in April 2024, won 2-0 at home in December 2023, and drew 2-2 in Augsburg in August 2024. Augsburg, for their part, beat Bremen 2-0 at the Weserstadion in January 2025.

That sort of record doesn’t scream one-way traffic. If anything, it points to a fixture where both teams have usually had chances and neither has owned the other for long. The one thing that does stand out is that clean sheets have been hard to protect in the longer run, even when the scorelines have occasionally stayed tight.

We Predict: Both Teams To Score

We’re backing Both Teams To Score at 8/15 here. If you want to dig a bit deeper here, the football tips hub pulls together our main football tips hub with singles, goals picks and combo angles in one place. It’s a short price, but a fair one. Bremen have seen BTTS land in four of their last five league games, Augsburg have gone through five straight with both sides scoring, and neither defence gives you much reason to trust it’ll hold for 90 minutes. That’s the heart of it. Simple enough.

The projected 2-1 Bremen win fits the shape of the match as well. Bremen’s home numbers are strong enough to suggest they’ll get chances, and Augsburg’s away record says they’re more than capable of nicking one themselves. If this becomes a bit stretched after the first goal, you’d expect both sides to have their moments. Bremen have the slightly better home edge, but Augsburg have enough attacking threat to keep the bet alive. BTTS looks the right call. The rest is just about who finishes better.

If you want a wider market, over 2.5 goals is the obvious alternative angle. But BTTS feels cleaner. It suits the recent pattern, the league records, and the way both teams have been defending — or not defending — for weeks.