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Alanyaspor host Samsunspor in the Trendyol Süper Lig on Monday evening, 27 April 2026, with both sides still chasing something tangible from the run-in. For Alanyaspor, it’s about dragging themselves away from the lower half and putting a messy spring behind them. For Samsunspor, seventh place and 42 points keeps European ambitions alive, but they can’t afford to keep dropping the odd clanger if they want to stay in the conversation.
There’s a bit more urgency on the visitors’ side, even if the table isn’t screaming panic. Samsunspor have been the more productive side across the season, with 36 goals scored and a stronger overall record than Alanyaspor. Yet this is the kind of away game that can flatten those hopes quickly. Alanyaspor aren’t safe enough to coast, and they’ve got enough at home to make this uncomfortable. That much is clear.
The broader picture matters too. Alanyaspor are 12th with 33 points, sitting on a season of far too many draws and not enough separation from danger. Samsunspor are seventh with 42, which is a far better return, though their 39 goals conceded tell you they’ve had to win games the hard way. That’s the story here: one team trying to steady a shaky campaign, the other trying to prove they belong higher up the ladder.
Alanyaspor’s recent spell has been a mixed bag, and that’s putting it politely. They followed a big 5-0 home win over Kocaelispor on 18 March with a run that’s been far less convincing: a 2-2 draw away to Göztepe, then another 1-1 at Gaziantep FK, then a solid enough point at home to Trabzonspor, before losing 1-0 at Kasımpaşa in the league. After that came the 3-0 cup defeat to Beşiktaş JK on 23 April. Four games without a win now, and the last one was fairly flat.
The home numbers are respectable without being spectacular. Alanyaspor have picked up 20 points at their own ground, with five wins, five draws and five defeats, scoring 18 and conceding 13. That’s not bad at all for a side sitting 12th overall, and it hints at a team that can generally hold its own in front of their crowd. But they’ve also been a little too easy to smother when the tempo drops. One clean-cut burst like the Kocaelispor game can still happen. Sustained pressure? That’s another matter.
Their season profile is pretty clear. Alanyaspor have scored 35 and conceded 35 in the league, which sounds neat on paper and usually means a side living on tight margins. It’s why so many of their games have ended level, and why João Pereira’s side can look competitive without ever fully taking control. They’ve got just six league wins all season. That’s the blunt truth. There’s enough about them to stay in matches, but not enough consistency to finish opponents off.
Samsunspor arrive in better shape, even if their own form has had a few jagged edges. They responded to a messy 4-1 loss away to Çaykur Rizespor by drawing 2-2 with Konyaspor, then went to Europe and nicked a 1-0 win at Rayo Vallecano in the Conference League. After that came a 2-1 home victory over Beşiktaş JK, which is a strong result by any measure, and then a 0-0 cup draw with Trabzonspor. That’s one defeat in their last six, and it’s easy to see why they’re still sitting in a decent league position.
Away from home, Thorsten Fink’s side have been solid rather than dominant. Their away record is exactly balanced: five wins, five draws and five losses, with 21 goals scored and 23 conceded. That tells you plenty. Samsunspor can score on the road, and they don’t fold easily, but they’re also open enough to invite trouble. You don’t back them for a clean, controlled away performance. You back them because they usually bring a goal with them. Sometimes two. Sometimes that’s enough.
The bigger point is that Samsunspor have looked lively in plenty of their recent games. They scored twice against Beşiktaş, twice against Konyaspor, and put four past Rizespor even in defeat. That’s the sort of attacking pattern that keeps BTTS in play, especially when you set it against an Alanyaspor side that’s gone four matches without a clean sheet. Still, they’re not watertight themselves. Conceding 39 in the league is a warning sign, and their away return of 23 goals conceded is hardly the mark of a side who loves shutting games down.
These two have developed a very familiar rhythm. The most recent meeting, back on 1 December 2025, finished 1-1 at Samsunspor’s ground, and that felt like part of a wider pattern rather than a one-off. The league game at Alanyaspor in April 2025 ended 1-0 to the hosts, while the two meetings before that also produced tight scorelines, including another 1-1 draw in November 2024 and a 1-1 draw in May 2024.
There’s a broader trend here that’s hard to ignore. Samsunspor haven’t kept a clean sheet against Alanyaspor in eight meetings, while both teams have scored in seven of the last eight. That points straight towards goals at both ends, not a one-sided grind. Mind you, the scorelines still tend to stay close. These games rarely blow apart.
We’re backing Both Teams To Score at 4/5 for this one. It’s the clearest angle in the game. Alanyaspor are home, they’ve scored in enough of their matches to stay alive in most contests, and they’ve gone four league games without a clean sheet. Samsunspor, for their part, have found the net regularly away from home and have scored in bursts all season. Neither side looks remotely secure enough to keep the other out for 90 minutes.
The shape of the fixture points to a draw, and 1-1 is the call. That fits the recent head-to-head pattern, it fits the teams’ season-long records, and it fits the expected xG split too, with Alanyaspor projected at 1.1 and Samsunspor at 1.0. If you want a small alternative, the draw itself has appeal, but BTTS is the cleaner play. This doesn’t feel like a game where either side finishes the job.
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