Antalyaspor host Alanyaspor at the Corendon Airlines Park on Sunday evening, 3 May 2026, in a Trendyol Süper Lig meeting that feels far more important to the home side. Sami Ugurlu’s team are down in 16th place on 28 points and still looking over their shoulder, while João Pereira’s Alanyaspor sit 12th on 33 points and have a bit more breathing space. There’s still work to do for both, though. Antalyaspor need points to drag themselves clear of danger. Alanyaspor need to stop the wobble before it drifts into something uglier.
This is a fixture that usually carries a bit of local edge, and the recent record between them has been fairly tight. Antalyaspor won the reverse meeting in December 2025, but they’ve also had to live with a lot of draws and narrow margins in this derby. That feels about right for a game like this. Neither side has been remotely convincing for long stretches. Both have defensive holes. Both can be awkward to play against when the mood takes them. And both arrive with questions hanging over them.
Antalyaspor Form & Analysis
Antalyaspor’s last few weeks have been messy, and the story keeps swinging between hope and alarm. They went to Başakşehir on 18 March and left with a hard-earned 0-0, the sort of result that can steady a season. Then came the 1-4 home defeat to Gaziantep FK, which ripped that calm apart. They responded with a bright 3-0 win over Eyüpspor at home on 5 April, and for a moment it looked like Sami Ugurlu had found a formula. Since then, though, the wheels have come off again. A 4-2 loss at Beşiktaş, a 0-2 home defeat to Konyaspor, and then another 2-0 loss away to Göztepe. Three defeats in a row. That’s not where Antalyaspor wanted to be in May.
What stands out is how fragile they’ve been when the game starts to tilt against them. Against Göztepe, they actually had 19 shots, but still finished with just 0.91 xG and conceded 2.37, which tells you plenty about the quality of those efforts and the kind of chances they allowed at the other end. On paper, they’re not collapsing in every phase. In practice, they’re coughing up far too much. Seven wins, seven draws and 17 defeats across the league season is the profile of a side with too many soft moments. Their home record isn’t much prettier: four wins, three draws and eight defeats at this ground, with 21 scored and 33 conceded. That’s leaky. Very leaky.
Still, you can’t write them off entirely. They’ve shown they can hurt teams at home, especially when they get on the front foot early and the crowd gets involved. The 3-0 win over Eyüpspor proved that much. But the bigger pattern is grim: Antalyaspor have gone three games without a win and they’ve lost their last match, which puts real pressure on this derby. Can they tighten up? That’s the big question. Right now, they don’t look trustworthy enough to keep Alanyaspor quiet for long.
Alanyaspor Form & Analysis
Alanyaspor arrive with a similar cloud over them, only theirs has been hanging around a little longer. Their best result in this run came on 18 March, when they thumped Kocaelispor 5-0 at home. Since then, though, the confidence has drained away. They drew 1-1 with Gaziantep FK away, then 1-1 with Trabzonspor at home, and after that the frustrations deepened. A 1-0 defeat at Kasımpaşa, followed by a 3-0 cup loss away to Beşiktaş, and then last weekend’s 2-3 home defeat to Samsunspor. That’s five without a win. Worse than that, they’ve now gone five games without a clean sheet. You don’t need to overthink the message there.
The good news for João Pereira is that Alanyaspor still carry enough attacking threat to make games uncomfortable. They scored in four of those last six matches, and even in defeat to Samsunspor they found two goals. The catch is that they’ve allowed opponents into the game too often. Against Samsunspor, they created a respectable 1.10 xG and had 17 shots, but they conceded 1.54 xGA and ended up on the wrong side of a 3-2 scoreline. That’s become a familiar theme. They’re not being blown away every week, but they’re letting matches slip. One lapse. Then another. And suddenly the points are gone.
Their league record tells the same story. Alanyaspor sit 12th with 33 points, having won six, drawn 15 and lost 10. That’s a draw-heavy season and it’s kept them from serious trouble, but it also speaks to a team that doesn’t know how to finish games off. Away from home, they’ve won only once, although they’ve been stubborn enough to draw 10 of their 15 road matches and score 17 goals on their travels. Fourteen away goals conceded is manageable, yet it’s not a base you’d call secure. They’re decent at staying in matches. They’re not great at ending them on top. That matters here.
Head-to-Head
The recent derby record leans towards Antalyaspor, and that’s the angle that gives this game its shape. They beat Alanyaspor 2-1 in March 2025 and did it again by the same scoreline in October 2024. There was also a 1-1 draw in May 2024 and a 0-0 stalemate in December 2025, so the pattern isn’t one-way traffic. Still, Antalyaspor have gone seven straight head-to-head meetings without a defeat, which is a pretty strong psychological edge even in a rivalry like this.
What’s more, these meetings have often been tight enough to keep both sides engaged deep into the match. There’s rarely been a big gap between them. That won’t change the way Antalyaspor look at this one. They’ll know they can live with Alanyaspor. Alanyaspor, for their part, will know they’ve got to be more clinical than they’ve been of late. Otherwise, another derby point — or worse — slips away.
We Predict: Both Teams To Score
We’re backing Both Teams To Score at 8/11 for this derby. Our football tips hub is a useful companion here because it pulls together our main football tips hub with singles, goals picks and combo angles in one place. That price feels fair enough. Maybe even a touch generous to the yes side. Antalyaspor have shipped 33 goals in 16 home league matches and have kept only a limited grip on games for months now, while Alanyaspor have gone five matches without a clean sheet and have found a way to concede in just about every type of fixture. That combination usually points one way. Both nets getting shaken.
The 1-1 correct score looks the neatest fit. Antalyaspor’s home record is poor, but they’ve still got enough threat to score in a game like this, and Alanyaspor’s away numbers suggest they can nick one too, especially with Antalyaspor’s back line looking so open. A 2-1 either way wouldn’t shock anyone, yet 1-1 feels the strongest call given the derby history and the way both teams keep leaving the door open without ever quite crashing through it. If you want a slightly safer angle, the draw-no-bet route on either side is a decent thought — but BTTS is the main play.
