Cracovia host Radomiak Radom in the Ekstraklasa on Monday evening, 11 May 2026, with both clubs still looking to finish the season in decent shape rather than limping home. It’s not a title race or a relegation shootout, but there’s still plenty on the line. Cracovia sit 14th with 39 points, and another flat night would drag them deeper into the sort of awkward end-of-season fog no one wants. Radomiak are 8th on 43, which is a healthier position, yet they’re hardly safe from being pulled into a crowded middle if they let standards slip.
For Bartosz Grzelak’s side, the job is simple enough: stop the slide, find a bit of rhythm, and protect a home record that has been decent without ever turning into a real weapon. Bruno Baltazar’s Radomiak arrive with a better overall position and a recent win under their belt, but their away form is messy enough to make this feel far less straightforward than the table might suggest. You’d expect goals. You’d expect a bit of tension too.
Cracovia Form & Analysis
Cracovia’s recent run has had the feel of a team stuck in second gear. The 0-0 draw at Zagłębie Lubin on 3 May followed a 1-1 home draw with Pogoń Szczecin, and before that they were beaten 4-1 by Raków Częstochowa. Throw in a 2-2 draw at home to MZKS Arka Gdynia and a 3-0 defeat away to Górnik Zabrze, and the pattern is hard to miss. They’re not getting blown away every week, but they’re not putting teams away either. One win in six tells the story. That’s thin stuff.
The numbers at home are respectable on the surface. Cracovia’s league record at their ground reads five wins, seven draws and three defeats, with 20 goals scored and 16 conceded. That’s a sturdy enough base, and it explains why they’ve avoided the kind of home collapse that can wreck a season. Still, there’s a catch. Seven draws at home is a lot, and it says plenty about a side that can stay in matches without quite taking control of them. They’ve got enough organisation to hang around, but not enough punch to dominate. That won’t be easy against a Radomiak side that usually finds a way into games.
There’s also a small lift from the last two outings, because Cracovia are unbeaten in two after those draws. Mind you, the 0-0 at Zagłębie came with Igor Orlikowski sent off in the 26th minute, so it wasn’t exactly a clean, composed shutdown. It was more a case of surviving. Grzelak will take that after the loss to Raków, but he’ll know his team need more threat at home than they showed in Lubin. They’ve scored in enough matches to suggest they can nick something here, yet the sharp edge is missing. Three goals in their last three league games sounds decent. The problem is that none of them came in a win.
Radomiak Radom Form & Analysis
Radomiak arrive with more spring in their step. Their 3-1 home win over KS Lechia Gdańsk on 4 May came after a narrow 1-0 away success at Wisła Płock and a 2-1 victory over Widzew Łódź, so there’s been a proper lift in results. Before that, though, they were beaten 1-0 at Zagłębie Lubin, drew 1-1 with Motor Lublin, and lost 3-1 at Piast Gliwice. That’s the story of their season in miniature: capable of stringing wins together, but also prone to letting the game slip when they leave home. The momentum is real. So is the inconsistency.
Away from home, the record is ugly enough to keep caution in the conversation. Radomiak’s league away split is two wins, six draws and seven defeats, with 17 goals scored and 29 conceded. That’s a poor return, and the 29 shipped on the road stands out even in a competitive league. They don’t travel like a team that can shut a game down. They’ve been in enough away matches to keep things respectable for spells, but too often they’re giving the opposition too many looks. If Cracovia can get on the front foot at all, Radomiak will have to defend better than their away numbers suggest they usually do.
Still, there’s no ignoring the attacking threat. Radomiak have scored 49 league goals overall, which is a healthy total for a side sitting eighth. Abdoul Tapsoba’s hat-trick against Lechia was the headline act, and even if that game was chaotic — Lechia had more shots and more big chances, and Jérémy Blasco’s red card didn’t help the visitors — it reinforced the point that Radomiak can hurt teams quickly when matches open up. They’re also on a three-game unbeaten run away from their last defeat in the sense of the broader form sequence, and that’s enough to suggest they won’t roll over in Kraków. The bigger question is whether they can defend long enough to stay in control. Usually, the answer is no.
Head-to-Head
This fixture has carried plenty of drama in recent seasons, and Radomiak have had the better of the most recent meetings. They beat Cracovia 3-0 in Radom on 7 November 2025, and that came after a 2-1 win at home in August 2024 and a 2-1 away win in Kraków in March 2025. Cracovia did land a huge 6-0 home victory in February 2024, but that looks more like the exception than the rule now. Radomiak have won three of the last four meetings and they’ve scored in all of them.
The goals pattern is the one that stands out. Five of the last six meetings have gone over 2.5 goals. That fits both teams’ profiles here, especially with Cracovia’s home draws and Radomiak’s away fragility. These games haven’t been sleepy. They’ve usually had at least one side willing to take risks, and often both.
We Predict: Both Teams To Score
We’re backing Both Teams To Score at 8/11 for this one. If you want more detail on the 2.5 goals line, our guide to 2.5 goals betting breaks down the 2.5 goals line with a clearer read on how to price open games. It’s a fair price in a match that has the right ingredients: Cracovia have scored in enough home games to trust them to nick one, while Radomiak’s attack has enough power to trouble a home side that’s only kept things tight in patches. The away record from Radomiak isn’t pretty, but that often creates games like this one — open enough for both sides to land a punch. A 1-1 draw feels the cleanest call.
Cracovia’s home numbers point to a team that rarely gets shut out for long, and Radomiak’s recent run has been built on scoring first and forcing the issue. The recent head-to-head trend leans the same way. One small concern is that Radomiak have produced some erratic away performances, so if they start slowly this can still turn into a narrow, scrappy home result. Even then, the market only needs one goal from each side. That feels the strongest angle.
An alternative play would be over 2.5 goals, given the recent meetings between these clubs, but BTTS is the safer read. 1-1 is the scoreline that fits best.
