FK Radnik Surdulica vs FK Novi Pazar Prediction & Betting Tips 22.04.2026

FK Radnik Surdulica host FK Novi Pazar on Wednesday evening in the Mozzart Bet Superliga Championship Round, and there’s still plenty hanging over this one despite the season entering its sharper, more unforgiving phase. Radnik sit 8th on 40 points, Novi Pazar are 5th on 47, and both sides have enough to play for to keep the final weeks from drifting into dead rubber territory. Radnik are trying to finish with some authority at home and protect a solid mid-table position. Novi Pazar are after a stronger end to a campaign that has flickered between promise and collapse.

This is a meeting of two teams with very different recent moods. Radnik have been hard to beat without always turning that into wins, while Novi Pazar arrive with their confidence shaken after a brutal home loss to OFK Beograd. The visitors are still above their hosts in the table, and their away record gives them a live chance here, but they’ve lost their way at the wrong moment. That matters. A lot.

There’s also a neat layer of history here. These sides know each other well enough, and recent meetings have swung both ways, with Radnik edging the last one 1-0 in Surdulica back in December. Before that, Novi Pazar had the better of the fixture. So this isn’t one of those matchups where the form book can be read without a second glance. It won’t be that simple.

FK Radnik Surdulica Form & Analysis

Radnik come into this with a mixed but fairly stubborn run behind them. They drew 2-2 away at Čukarički on 18 April, a result that will have felt both satisfying and slightly irritating. They were in it all the way, scored through Martin Novaković, and then had to survive the drama of an own goal and a late penalty before Luka Zorić rescued a point in stoppage time. Before that, they were held 0-0 at OFK Beograd, and if you’re looking for a team that’s been difficult to pull apart, there’s your evidence. But it’s not all been neat and tidy. A 1-2 home loss to Crvena zvezda showed the obvious ceiling against the league’s heavier hitters, even if they pushed it close.

The broader picture is the one that counts, though. Radnik’s last six reads like a team that keeps turning up, keeps competing, and rarely gets blown away. They beat Spartak Subotica 3-1 away, drew with Javor Ivanjica at home, and shared the spoils with Radnički Niš in a 2-2 game on their own ground. One win in six isn’t dazzling. It’s not. Yet they’ve only lost once in that sequence, and three of those six matches were draws. That sort of record keeps a side alive in the middle reaches of the table, especially when their home form is doing some real work.

And their home numbers are the part Novi Pazar have to respect. Radnik have won seven, drawn four and lost four at their ground, scoring 23 and conceding 16. That’s a tidy base. Not spectacular, but solid enough. They’re not a team that gifts opponents easy afternoons at home, and the goal return suggests they usually find a way to make games competitive. There’s been a useful edge to them in Surdulica, even if they’ve lacked the killer touch to turn decent performances into a bigger points haul. They’ve also shown a habit of getting on the scoresheet; five of their last six have featured both teams scoring, and that fits the way they’re set up right now. Open enough to create. Open enough to be punished. The numbers are plain.

FK Novi Pazar Form & Analysis

Novi Pazar arrive in much shakier shape. Their last six matches have been rough, and the 1-5 home defeat to OFK Beograd on 18 April was the sort of result that leaves a stain. They were carved open repeatedly, despite putting up respectable attacking numbers on the day, and conceding five at home is never a good sign at this stage of the season. Before that came a 2-3 loss to Partizan on their own pitch, another game where they stayed in touch but couldn’t shut the door when it mattered. Two home defeats, two high-scoring reversals. That’s a nasty pattern.

There’s been even more frustration away from home. Novi Pazar lost 2-0 at Železničar Pančevo after leading nowhere, and their last road trip before that was a limp 0-0 draw at Javor Ivanjica. They’re not getting rolled over every week, but they’re not stringing together the sort of away displays that inspire confidence either. Their only win in the last six came all the way back on 9 March at Mladost Lučani, and that was followed by a draw with Čukarički and then the slide that’s taken over in April. Five games without a win now. That’s a long enough skid to drag the mood down.

Away from home, the season record is decent on paper: five wins, five draws and five losses, with 17 scored and 19 conceded. Balanced, yes. Convincing, no. They’ve generally stayed in games on the road, but the recent trend is the one you can’t ignore, and it’s ugly enough. The leak at the back has grown wider, while the attack hasn’t been ruthless enough to compensate. Still, they’re fifth in the table for a reason. There’s talent in the squad and the odd burst of quality. The issue is that the bursts have stopped arriving together. If you’re backing them here, you’re trusting a side that’s just been beaten 5-1 at home to steady itself quickly. That’s a leap.

Head-to-Head

Radnik and Novi Pazar have traded blows in this fixture over the last few seasons, and there’s no one-way traffic here. Radnik won the most recent meeting 1-0 in Surdulica on 21 December 2025, which gives the hosts a useful reference point heading into this rematch. Before that, Novi Pazar had won the reverse fixture 2-0 in August 2025 and also claimed a 4-1 home win in April 2024. The pattern is simple enough: home advantage has mattered, but neither side has been able to dominate the matchup for long.

The lean of the recent head-to-heads is toward tighter games. Five of the last seven meetings have gone under 2.5 goals, and that matters when you’re trying to read this one. These matches haven’t usually turned into chaos from the first whistle. That said, there’s enough recent volatility in both camps to stop anyone from getting too comfortable with a low-scoring script.

We Predict: Home Win

We’re backing Radnik Surdulica to win this at 6/5. It’s a fair price for a home side that’s been tougher to beat than to beat. Novi Pazar’s current slump is the deciding factor. Five without a win, a 5-1 home collapse last time out, and back-to-back defeats at home leave them looking brittle. Radnik don’t need to be brilliant to take advantage. They just need to be themselves in Surdulica.

The 2-1 correct score feels the right call. Radnik’s home record is strong enough to support that, and Novi Pazar have enough attacking threat to nick one even when they’re off colour. The xG projection is close too — 1.1 to 0.9 — which suggests a narrow contest rather than a romp. Still, the home side have the steadier shape, and that should count when the game gets tense late on.

If you want a slightly safer angle, Radnik on the draw no bet route would be the obvious alternative. But the straight home win is the better play here. Novi Pazar’s away record is respectable in the season-long sense, yet their recent form says something different. Radnik can edge it.