Girona FC vs Mallorca Prediction & Betting Tips 01.05.2026

Girona welcome Mallorca to Montilivi on Friday evening in LaLiga, with both sides still looking over their shoulders rather than dreaming about anything grander. This is the sort of end-of-season fixture that can still feel loaded. Girona sit 15th on 38 points, Mallorca are 17th on 35, and the margin between comfort and nervousness is thin enough to slice with a knife.

For Girona, this is about stopping the slide and keeping daylight between themselves and the drop zone. For Mallorca, it’s even more immediate: they’re only three points behind Girona and their away form has been so poor that every road trip carries a bit of dread with it. Michel’s side have the better home record, Mallorca arrive with the worst away numbers in the division. That’s the basic frame. The rest is detail, and the detail leans Girona’s way.

There’s also a bit of recent history to chew on. Girona won 2-1 at Mallorca on 4 January 2026, then edged the return league meeting 1-0 at home last season. Before that, the two clubs have traded blows, but Girona have had the sharper edge more often than not in the most recent meetings. That doesn’t guarantee anything on Friday. It just gives the hosts a little more credibility when you’re trying to separate these two.

Girona FC Form & Analysis

Girona’s last few games have been messy rather than catastrophic, and that’s an important distinction. They went to Valencia on 25 April and lost 2-1 in a match they were never really out of, with Joel Roca getting on the scoresheet after Largie Ramazani and Umar Sadiq had struck for the hosts. Before that came a frustrating 2-3 home defeat to Real Betis, a game that exposed their defensive looseness again and left them with nothing from a match where they’d expected better.

That said, there was a proper response not long before. They drew 1-1 away to Real Madrid on 10 April, which stands out as a decent result even if it didn’t become a win, and they beat Villarreal 1-0 at home on 6 April. Go a little further back and the picture brightens again: a 3-0 home win over Athletic Club and a narrow away loss at Osasuna. So the form line isn’t dead flat. Girona have been competitive. They just haven’t been able to turn decent performances into enough points. Three games without a win is not a disaster, but it is a warning sign.

At Montilivi, though, they’ve been far more reliable than Mallorca have been on the road. Girona’s home record reads six wins, four draws and six losses, with 19 goals scored and 24 conceded. That’s not elite, and the goals against column is a touch too high for comfort, but it’s a proper mid-table home record rather than a relegation-level one. They’re averaging enough going forward to stay in games, and xG-wise they’ve generally lived in a decent attacking band this season. The issue has been control. They’ve had too many matches where the scoreline tilts into a scrap.

Still, there are reasons to fancy them here. Michel’s side are creating enough to hurt weaker away teams, and Mallorca’s recent away outings won’t frighten anyone. Girona have also been on the right side of this fixture more often than not lately. They don’t need to dominate. They just need to be sharper in both boxes than they were against Betis and Valencia. If they are, they’ll give themselves a very good chance. Simple as that.

Mallorca Form & Analysis

Mallorca arrive with a mixed bag of results, and the pattern is familiar: strong at home, fragile away, dangerous enough to cause trouble but rarely secure enough to trust. Their latest outing ended in a 2-1 loss at Deportivo Alavés on 25 April, a match in which they were second-best for long spells and finished with only 0.21 xG. That’s a miserable attacking return. Jan Virgili gave them an early lead, but they never really built on it, and the game slipped away from them after the break.

Before that, they drew 1-1 at home to Valencia, which was decent but not enough to change the wider mood. Prior to that there were proper high points: a 3-0 home win over Rayo Vallecano and a 2-1 home victory against Real Madrid. Those results remind you Mallorca can still produce a punchy performance when everything clicks at Son Moix. The flip side? The away form has dragged them down all season. A 2-1 loss at Elche also sits in that sequence, and their road record makes grim reading no matter how you dress it up.

One win from 16 away matches is the sort of number that tells its own story. Mallorca have picked up only six points on the road, with 14 goals scored and 31 conceded. That’s bottom-of-the-table away form, full stop. They’re not just losing away from home; they’re usually losing in a way that leaves them chasing the game. That matters here because Girona rarely need much encouragement to get the ball in the box at Montilivi. Mallorca’s defensive numbers away from home are too soft for comfort, and they haven’t shown a consistent ability to shut games down.

Martín Demichelis will lean on the fact that his side can score — 41 league goals overall is no disaster — and they’ve found some useful moments in the last month. But when the base level is this low on the road, you’re always waiting for the collapse. Can they keep it tight for 90 minutes in Girona? It’s hard to make that case with confidence. Their away record says no more often than yes.

Head-to-Head

Recent meetings between these sides point towards goals and a narrow Girona edge. The two clubs met in Palma in January and Girona came away with a 2-1 win, and they also beat Mallorca 1-0 at Montilivi in May 2025. Mallorca did win 2-1 in December 2024, so Girona haven’t had things all their own way, but the broader pattern still favours the hosts.

There’s been a decent scoring trend in this fixture too. Four of the last five league meetings have seen both teams score, and the 5-3 Girona win in September 2023 is the sort of game that lingers in the memory. This isn’t a rivalry built on caution. One clean sheet in the last several meetings. That’s the kind of detail punters notice.

We Predict: Both Teams To Score

We’re backing Both Teams To Score at 4/6 for this one. Girona’s home games have had enough bite, Mallorca have scored in enough matches to keep themselves alive, and the head-to-head pattern nudges the same way. The price is fair. Not flashy, but fair.

The reason this lands is simple enough. Girona’s home record suggests they’ll create chances and probably score, while Mallorca’s attack has enough about it to nick one even on a bad away day. Girona have also gone three games without a win and haven’t been keeping clean sheets with any real consistency. That makes a 2-1 Girona win the most natural call, which fits the xG projection as well: 1.7 to 1.1. If you want a slightly more aggressive angle, over 2.5 goals is live too, but BTTS is the cleaner play here.