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Kayserispor host Çaykur Rizespor in the Trendyol Süper Lig on Saturday evening, 25 April 2026, with both sides arriving at very different points in the table but under pretty similar pressure. Kayserispor are 17th on 23 points and staring at a scrap they can’t afford to lose too many more battles in. Çaykur Rizespor sit 8th on 37 points, comfortably away from the bottom end, but not close enough to the top half to switch off. There’s still plenty on the line for both clubs. One is trying to drag itself clear of danger. The other wants to turn a decent season into a proper push for a stronger finish.
For Erling Moe’s Kayserispor, this feels like one of those home games that carries a little more weight than the league table alone suggests. Their season has been messy, frustrating and too often leaky. Recep Uçar’s Rizespor arrive with more points, more balance and a better attacking edge, but they’ve hardly been bulletproof away from home. They’ve drawn eight of their 15 away matches. That alone tells you they’re not the sort to blow teams away on the road. This could be tight. Probably will be.
The recent meetings between these two have been awkward and split. Kayserispor beat Rizespor 1-0 in both November 2025 and April 2025, while Rizespor thumped them 3-0 twice before that. There’s no grand pattern that screams certainty, but there is enough history here to suggest one goal could change the whole feel of the afternoon. The stakes are simple enough. Kayserispor need points to stop the slide. Rizespor need control, because if this turns into a scrappy, edge-of-the-box kind of game, they won’t want to get dragged into a fight.
Kayserispor come into this one on the back of a bruising run. Their last six league matches have brought five defeats and only one win, and the way those losses have arrived tells a depressing story. They were beaten 3-1 at home by Trabzonspor on 9 March, then finally found some relief with a 1-0 home win over Fatih Karagümrük ten days later. That did little to spark momentum. Since then, they’ve lost 2-1 at Samsunspor, gone down 2-0 at Kasımpaşa, been hammered 4-0 at home by Fenerbahçe and, most recently, fell 3-0 away to Gaziantep FK on 20 April. That last defeat was not a close one. They were second best in the areas that matter and never looked like turning the game around.
At home, the picture isn’t much prettier. Kayserispor’s league record at their own ground stands at 3 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats, with just 10 goals scored and 30 conceded. That is a serious problem. They’re averaging well under a goal a game at home and leaking three times that many across the season, which is why the atmosphere around these matches tends to feel tense from the first whistle. They’ve also gone three games without a win, and there’s a worrying trend of conceding first. That sort of habit kills confidence fast. You can’t keep gifting the opening goal and expect to stay afloat.
The numbers around their season fit the eye test. Kayserispor have scored only 21 goals in 30 league matches, while shipping 57. That’s not a survival profile; it’s a team fighting its own shape every week. Even their recent xG against Gaziantep — 0.84 in a match where they allowed 1.62 — hints at a side struggling to land enough punches while taking too many. They’ll need to be much more compact here, because if Rizespor get room to run at them, Kayserispor’s back line could be in for another long night.
Çaykur Rizespor arrive with a far steadier look to them, even if they’re not exactly in cruise control. Their last six league games have produced three wins, one draw and two defeats, and the draw at Fenerbahçe on 17 April was a serious point in their favour. They came away from a difficult away fixture with a 2-2 result, and the scoreline had plenty of noise in it. Ali Sowe struck after the break, they had to absorb pressure after Talisca’s penalty and then clawed back again deep into added time through Modibo Sagnan. That kind of late response says something about the group. They don’t fold easily.
Before that, Rizespor handled Gaziantep FK 2-1 at home and smashed Samsunspor 4-1 in another home fixture. Those were the sort of results that show their attacking side at full stretch. They did lose 2-1 away to Fatih Karagümrük and 1-0 away to Trabzonspor, so the road isn’t a free ride, but they’ve also won at Antalyaspor and pushed big teams when it’s been required. That balance is why they sit in the top half. They’ve scored 41 goals and conceded 42, which is hardly a perfect defensive record, yet it does suggest a side capable of trading blows and staying in games.
Away from home, Rizespor’s numbers are decent without being frightening. They’ve picked up 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats on the road, scoring 22 and conceding 23. That’s a side that can hang around, frustrate opponents and nick a result if the game remains open. Can they keep it tidy enough here? That’s the real question. The issue is that they haven’t kept a clean sheet in five matches, and that makes life more complicated. Still, the attack has been lively enough to compensate. They’ve scored in four of their last five league matches, and they’ve shown enough away resilience to make you think they’ll get chances in Kayseri.
There’s also a more direct angle here. Rizespor’s recent run has leaned towards goals, with four of their last five producing more than 2.5. That doesn’t mean this will turn into a shootout. It does mean their games rarely stay quiet for long. If they get the first chance and Kayserispor chase, this can open up quickly. If Kayserispor sit deep and protect the box, Rizespor still have the edge in quality. Either way, they shouldn’t be short of opportunities.
Recent meetings between these clubs have swung both ways, but the striking thing is how decisive they’ve often been. Kayserispor’s 1-0 win at Rizespor in November 2025 followed a 1-0 home win in April 2025, and before that Rizespor had won two in a row without conceding a goal, beating Kayserispor 3-0 at home in December 2024 and again in March 2024. Go back a little further and there’s a 3-1 Kayserispor win in October 2023, a 1-1 draw in April 2022 and another narrow away win for Rizespor in November 2021.
So while the head-to-head has produced the odd one-sided result, it’s been fairly tight more often than not. That matters here because neither side looks dominant enough to force a clear script. The recent pattern says one mistake, one early goal or one spell of pressure could decide it.
Both Teams To Score at 4/7 looks the strongest play here. Kayserispor’s home record is too poor to trust them blindly, but they’ve still got just enough going forward to nick something in front of their own crowd. Rizespor, meanwhile, have hit goals regularly enough away from home and arrive with a five-match run without a clean sheet. That combination points straight at both ends finding the net.
The projected 1-1 scoreline fits the shape of the game. Kayserispor probably won’t control it, but they should find a spell or two where Rizespor’s defence is stretched. And Rizespor are good enough to hurt them, especially if the hosts concede first again. If you wanted a firmer angle, Rizespor in the double chance market would also have appeal, but BTTS is the cleaner call.
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