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Ludogorets and Levski Sofia meet again on 13 May 2026 in the First Professional League championship round, with the title race and the top-end bragging rights both still live. It’s first against second, and that alone tells you this isn’t just another end-of-season fixture. Levski arrive at the top of the table with 76 points, eight clear of Ludogorets on 63, but the champions have at least dragged themselves back into the conversation by beating the league leaders in Sofia only four days ago.
That 1-0 away win on 9 May changed the mood around this rivalry. Petar Stanić settled it in the 89th minute, which says plenty about how tight these games have been lately. One goal has often been enough. Sometimes none at all. The pressure now shifts to Ludogorets at home, where Per Mathias Høgmo’s side need another big performance to keep the chase alive, while Julio Velazquez’s Levski know a response would put a serious dent in the home side’s momentum.
There’s also a pattern here that’s hard to ignore. Ludogorets have had the better of this matchup for a while, but Levski are the team with the stronger league season overall and the better away record. So which version shows up? The controlled, low-scoring chess match? Or something a little looser? The market expects the former. The recent evidence doesn’t exactly scream goal fest.
Ludogorets’ recent run has been messy by their standards, and that’s putting it politely. Their last six have brought only one win, and even that came in the most important way possible — a 1-0 victory away to Levski Sofia on 9 May. Before that, though, the wheels were wobbling. They lost 1-0 at CSKA Sofia in the league, drew 0-0 at the same ground in the Bulgarian Cup, then went down 2-1 at home to FC CSKA 1948 Sofia. Earlier still, they were beaten 2-1 at home by CSKA Sofia in the cup and lost 1-0 away to Arda Kardzhali. That’s a thin return for a side used to controlling domestic football.
The home record at the heart of this tie is still decent, but it’s not intimidating. Ludogorets are third on the home standings with 32 points from 16 matches, collecting nine wins, five draws and two defeats. They’ve scored 29 and conceded only 11 at home, so the defensive platform is sound enough. Mind you, that attack number isn’t as explosive as you’d expect from a title contender. Under Høgmo, they’ve looked capable of shutting games down, but not always of breaking them open. That matters here because Levski won’t panic if the score stays level for a long spell.
There is a familiar Ludogorets edge in this fixture, though. They’re first to score in six of the last seven meetings, and that kind of early control has often allowed them to dictate the tone. The problem is that their recent domestic form has lost some bite. Three defeats in their last five before the win in Sofia is not the sort of run that inspires blind trust. They’ll need sharper movement in the final third than they’ve shown for much of April and early May. One clean, high-tempo attacking spell could settle it. But if they let Levski breathe, this becomes a draw-type game very quickly.
Levski’s season has been stronger overall, and the table confirms that. They sit top with 76 points, and their away record is the best in the division: 10 wins, three draws and three defeats, with 29 goals scored and 14 conceded. That’s the profile of a side who travel well and don’t get rattled by hostile settings. They’ve also been harder to crack than most, with just 24 goals conceded across the league campaign. That’s a proper title-chasing base.
Their last six results tell a fairly coherent story. They lost 1-0 at home to Ludogorets on 9 May, but before that they’d put together a decent sequence: a 1-0 home win over FC CSKA 1948 Sofia, an excellent 3-1 away victory at CSKA Sofia, a 1-1 draw away to the same opposition in the league, a 1-0 home win against Arda Kardzhali, and a 2-2 draw at FK Dobrudzha Dobrich. That’s a side that can win ugly, win away, and keep itself in games. The defeat to Ludogorets was a setback, yes, but it didn’t expose a collapse. It was decided late. Again.
Still, the away challenge in Razgrad is a different animal from most trips. Levski have the league’s best road record, but they’re up against a team that knows how to manage this exact type of contest. Their own scoring numbers suggest they don’t need chaos to get results. The issue is that away from home, they’ve also been happy to win by narrow margins rather than run riot. That suits a low-scoring call, but it leaves little margin for error if Ludogorets land the first punch. Can they keep it tight again? They’ve done enough to believe they can. Can they turn territory into chances? That’s the harder part.
This rivalry has been leaning Ludogorets’ way for some time, and the recent meetings are fairly one-sided. Ludogorets beat Levski 1-0 on 9 May, won 1-0 again in Razgrad in March, and also took the two earlier winter meetings 1-0 in the Bulgarian Cup and Bulgarian Supercup. Before that, there were draws in September 2025 and across the 2024-25 league season, but the most recent pattern is clear enough: Ludogorets have had the edge, often by a single goal, and Levski haven’t found many clean looks in these fixtures.
The shape of the head-to-head is almost as telling as the results themselves. Five of the last five meetings listed here have stayed under 2.5 goals. That’s not a coincidence. These sides know each other well, defend first, and rarely hand out cheap chances. It’s usually tense, a bit cagey, and often decided by one moment. That’s why another tight, low-scoring affair feels entirely natural.
We’re backing Both Teams To Score at 5/6 for this one. If you want more detail on trixie bets, our trixie bet guide breaks down trixie bets if you are looking at multi-bet structures rather than singles. It’s not a flashy angle, but it fits the fixture better than trying to force a side on recent evidence. Ludogorets are at home, they’ve got a strong record in Razgrad, and they’ve scored regularly there. Levski, though, are top of the table for a reason — they travel well, they’ve got 29 away goals in the league, and they’ve been strong enough on the road to find a reply in plenty of difficult matches.
The tension is obvious. The recent head-to-head trend screams under 2.5 goals, and a 1-1 draw is the scoreline that best balances those numbers with the broader league picture. That’s the call here. Ludogorets probably nick one, Levski almost certainly respond, and neither side looks open enough for a wild shootout. If you wanted a safer alternative, under 2.5 goals is the obvious companion bet, but BTTS has enough going for it to edge the main play.
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