Parma vs Pisa Prediction & Betting Tips 25.04.2026

Parma welcome Pisa to the Stadio Ennio Tardini on Saturday afternoon with the points carrying very different weight for each side. For Parma, this is about keeping clear of the danger and nudging themselves into a more comfortable mid-table finish under Carlos Cuesta. For Pisa, it’s simpler and harsher: they need results fast, because 20th place and 18 points tells its own story. There’s a gulf in the table, and not much time left to bridge it.

The meeting comes at a point where Parma have at least started to steady themselves. They’ve taken four points from their last three league games, and their most recent away win at Udinese gave them a bit of breathing room. Pisa, by contrast, keep running into the same wall. Oscar Hiljemark’s side have lost four straight league matches, and their away record is a bleak one: no wins, eight draws and eight defeats. That’s not the profile of a team ready to turn up and surprise anyone on the road.

There is some history between these two as well, and it leans Parma’s way. The reverse fixture in December ended in a 1-0 win for Parma in Pisa, while the broader recent meetings have tended to be tight and low-scoring. That matters here. This doesn’t feel like a game where either side is likely to run away with it.

Parma Form & Analysis

Parma’s recent form has been a mixed bag, but there’s a sturdier edge to them now than there was a few weeks ago. They went to Udinese on 18 April and came back with a 1-0 win, with Nesta Elphege striking in the second half after a game that was fairly even on chances. Before that, they drew 1-1 at home with Napoli, a result that would’ve felt decent enough given the opposition, and they had already taken a point away at Lazio in another 1-1 draw. That’s three games unbeaten. It’s not glamorous, but it’s useful.

The wobble came in the middle of March and early April, when they were beaten 2-0 at home by Cremonese and then suffered a heavy 4-1 loss at Torino. Throw in the 0-0 draw at Fiorentina and you’ve got a side that’s not been consistent, yet hasn’t collapsed either. That’s Parma in a nutshell right now. They can frustrate good teams. They can also go flat for long spells. Carlos Cuesta will want more control, especially at home, where the numbers are still a bit underwhelming.

Their record at the Tardini is only 3 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses, with 12 goals scored and 22 conceded. That’s not good enough for a team trying to settle the nerves. Still, there’s enough in the recent home draws with Napoli and the away result at Udinese to suggest Parma are harder to beat than the table might imply. They’ve also kept things fairly tight in stretches, and their overall home goal return isn’t high. That points towards a side that often need one good moment rather than a full-on attacking performance.

One thing that stands out is the balance of Parma’s home games. They don’t tend to turn into shootouts, and with a 24-40 goal record overall, they’re not built to overwhelm opponents. They’ve only scored 12 at home all season. You’d expect them to stay patient here, press Pisa into mistakes and trust the structure more than the flair. That’s probably the right approach. Pisa haven’t exactly shown they can handle pressure for long periods.

Pisa Form & Analysis

Pisa arrive in poor shape, and there’s no dressing that up. Their last six league matches have produced one win and five defeats, and even that victory feels like a long time ago now. They beat Cagliari 3-1 on 15 March, but since then the losses have stacked up: 4-0 at Juventus, 5-0 at Como, 1-0 at home to Torino, 3-0 at Roma and then 2-1 at home to Genoa last weekend. That’s a grim sequence. The margins haven’t always been kind, but the overall picture is clear enough.

The Genoa game summed up a lot of Pisa’s problems. They were competitive enough in parts, they scored through Simone Canestrelli early on, and yet they still ended up beaten 2-1. That’s the pattern with this side. They can get on the scoresheet, but they don’t protect leads, don’t absorb pressure well enough and don’t usually have the resilience to recover when a game turns against them. Their defensive record is a serious issue: 60 goals conceded in the league, and 39 of those have come away from home.

Their away form is especially bleak. Pisa have not won a league game on the road this season, with eight draws and eight defeats from 16 trips. They’ve scored 16 away goals, which isn’t disastrous, but they’ve also conceded 39. That’s far too many. It tells you they’re open, and it tells you they often spend too long chasing matches. Even when they’ve stayed in games, they’ve rarely found a way to close them out. Can they suddenly turn that around in Parma? It feels unlikely.

There are a couple of small positives for Oscar Hiljemark. Pisa can still find the net, and they’ve scored in a fair number of their recent away games despite the defeats. But the defensive numbers are dragging them down badly, and the current four-match losing run adds pressure to every phase of play. The longer this goes on, the harder it becomes to trust them in any away setting. They’ll need a sharp start and a clean first half just to keep this alive. That’s a big ask.

Head-to-Head

This fixture has been pretty kind to Parma lately. The most recent meeting, in Pisa on 8 December 2025, ended in a 1-0 away win for Parma, and that result fits the broader pattern. Parma have won three of the last eight meetings, while several of the others have been tight, cautious games. It hasn’t been a rivalry full of drama or big scorelines.

Low-scoring meetings have been common, too. Seven of the last nine head-to-heads have gone under 2.5 goals, which lines up with the more controlled, stubborn feel of this matchup. Pisa have often struggled to land a clean punch in these games, and Parma have tended to find just enough. That’s a useful clue heading into Saturday.

We Predict: Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X at 1/4 looks the strongest call here. Parma are not flying, but they’re far steadier than Pisa, and that matters more than style in a fixture like this. Cuesta’s side are unbeaten in three, they’ve just won away at Udinese, and they’ve already held Napoli and Lazio in recent weeks. Pisa, meanwhile, are stuck in a four-match losing run and have still not won away all season. That’s the difference.

The safe angle is also the sensible one because Parma don’t need to do much to protect this. Their home scoring record isn’t electric, but Pisa’s away defence is soft and their confidence looks fragile. A 1-1 draw has a bit of appeal given the xG projection of 1.3 to 1.0, yet Parma should have enough to avoid defeat. One-goal margins feel most likely. If you want something a touch bolder, under 2.5 goals also has a decent shout given the way these teams usually play and the recent head-to-head pattern.