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Puskás Akadémia vs MTK Budapest Prediction & Betting Tips 15.05.2026

Football PredictionsNB INB I • Hungary
Puskás Akadémia logo
Puskás Akadémia
15 May21:00R 33
00:00:00
MTK Budapest logo
MTK Budapest
PredictionStatisticsOddsLineupsStandingsH2H

Match form loads a moment after the page opens so the main prediction can appear first; recent results are fetched right after.

Puskás Akadémia — Last 6
MTK Budapest — Last 6

Puskás Akadémia host MTK Budapest in NB I on Friday evening, 15 May 2026, with both sides still chasing a strong finish to the league campaign. Puskás sit 6th on 45 points and are trying to turn a decent season into something a bit better. MTK are down in 10th with 37 points, safe enough for now but far too inconsistent to be comfortable. There’s still plenty on the line, even if neither club is staring at the title or a relegation fight.

For Puskás, this is about staying on the right side of the upper half and pushing for a finish that reflects a fairly even season. They’ve scored 41 and conceded 41, which tells you a lot about them: useful going forward, open at the back, and never quite dull. MTK’s numbers are even noisier. They’ve scored 53 goals, a respectable return, but shipped 60. That’s the sort of balance that keeps matches alive — and keeps coaches busy.

The backdrop adds a bit of spice too. These two met only in February and played out a 2-2 draw in Budapest. Before that, the meetings have been full of goals, slip-ups and a few comfortable Puskás wins. Friday’s game should have a similar feel. Open, a touch frayed, and probably decided by which side handles the big moments better.

Puskás Akadémia Form & Analysis

Puskás come into this one on the back of a welcome 3-1 away win at Zalaegerszegi TE on 1 May, a result that snapped the rhythm of a mixed spell and reminded everyone they can still hurt opponents when they get their forward play right. They were clinical enough there, with András Csonka striking early, András Németh and Dániel Lukács adding the sort of goals that settle matches before the pressure builds. Before that, though, the story was less tidy. They lost 1-0 at Paksi FC, went down 2-1 at Ferencváros, and were beaten 4-1 at home by ETO FC Győr. That home loss stung. A 2-0 win over Újpest offered some relief in between, and the away victory at Diósgyőri VTK earlier in April showed they can travel well enough when the game opens up.

Overall, their recent run reads as two wins and four defeats from the last six, but the latest result matters most. They’ve won their last match and are unbeaten in two. That’s a small lift, not a transformation. The home record is still a concern: five wins, three draws and seven losses at their own ground, with 18 scored and 22 conceded. That isn’t disastrous, but it’s not the profile of a side you’d trust blindly in front of their own fans. They do get chances. They don’t always defend them well. Straightforward enough.

There is one encouraging note for Zsolt Hornyak’s side. They’ve tended to get on the scoreboard in this fixture, and their home games aren’t usually sterile. Their overall balance suggests a team capable of edging tight matches rather than controlling them from start to finish. That’s fine when the front line clicks. It’s less fine when the defensive line starts leaking chances, which has happened often enough this season to keep them from climbing higher.

MTK Budapest Form & Analysis

MTK arrive without a defeat in five, but that doesn’t mean they’re flying. Four of those five have been draws or narrow wins, and the most recent was a 1-1 home stalemate with Nyiregyháza Spartacus on 2 May. They equalised late through Muhamed Tijani from the spot after Hunor Németh had put them ahead, and the game carried a slightly awkward feel all evening. They had enough attacking threat, but they didn’t put the match to bed. Before that came a 0-0 draw away at Kazincbarcikai SC, then home wins over Kisvárda FC and Zalaegerszegi TE. Before that, they drew 2-2 at Újpest and lost 2-0 at home to Paksi FC. So yes, unbeaten in five. Also a bit flat.

That’s been the MTK story for much of the season. They can score — 53 league goals is a decent number — but they concede too often and their away record explains why they’re sitting in 10th rather than chasing something better. On the road they’ve managed only two wins, six draws and seven defeats, with just 16 goals scored and 31 conceded. That’s a rough split. They don’t travel with much control, and when they go behind away from home, the recovery job is often a slog. No clean sheets in a long time on the road, and the defensive fragility away from Budapest is hard to ignore.

Máté Pinezits will take some encouragement from the fact that they’re not rolling over. They’ve avoided defeat in their last five, and that sort of steady run can smooth over a lot of issues. Still, the ceiling feels limited when the away record looks like that. You don’t win many matches conceding 31 away goals. You just don’t. MTK can keep this competitive, especially if they get the first goal, but if the game turns scrappy or stretches into a chase, they’re the side more likely to feel the strain.

Head-to-Head

This fixture has been a bit of a habit for goals and shared points. The most recent meeting finished 2-2 in Budapest on 14 February 2026, and that followed another draw, 1-1 at Puskás Akadémia in October 2025. The meeting before that also ended 1-1 in Felcsút in April 2025. MTK did nick a 0-1 loss at home to Puskás in November 2024, but that’s the exception rather than the rule in the recent series.

Puskás have had the better of the rivalry more often than not over a longer stretch, and they’ve frequently found a way to score first. That matters here. The pattern is clear enough: MTK usually get chances in this fixture, but they rarely shut Puskás out. And when these two meet, the game tends to stay alive deep into the second half.

We Predict: Home Win

Puskás Akadémia at 10/11 looks the right call here. It’s not a huge price, but it’s fair enough given the shape of the two sides. Puskás are better at home than MTK are away, they’ve just come off a strong 3-1 win at Zalaegerszeg, and this is the sort of opponent they’ve usually handled well enough in Felcsút. MTK’s five-game unbeaten run is respectable, but too many of those results have been draws, and their away defensive record is weak enough to leave them exposed.

A 2-1 home win feels the most natural scoreline. Puskás have enough going for them in attack to score twice, while MTK’s recent run suggests they’re good for a goal even when they don’t dominate. That said, the home side’s leaky record means a clean sheet wouldn’t surprise me in the slightest if the match starts open. If you want a more cautious angle, Puskás in the Draw No Bet market would be the safety-first route, but the outright home win is the better price to take.

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