Radomiak Radom welcome Lech Poznań to Radom in the Ekstraklasa on Saturday evening, 16 May 2026, with the season entering its sharp end and the stakes still very real at both ends of the table. Radomiak sit eighth on 44 points, safe enough in the broad picture but still chasing a strong finish after a solid campaign. Lech, by contrast, are top on 56 points and know every remaining game matters in the title race. There’s no room for a sloppy night now.
This is also a meeting of two teams in decent shape. Radomiak have lost only once in their last six league outings and are unbeaten in four. Lech arrive on a longer unbeaten run and have not tasted defeat in nine across all competitions. That’s the sort of form line that usually points to a tight, serious contest. Yet the table says one side is still clearly carrying more pressure. Lech can’t really afford to let the title slip against mid-table opposition. Radomiak, meanwhile, will see this as a chance to make a statement at home.
The journeys here have been built on very different foundations. Radomiak’s recent league run has been stubborn and lively, while Lech have combined control with a little extra cutting edge, even if their latest result at home to Arka Gdynia was a draw. The away team still look the stronger side, and the market has opened in their favour for a reason.
Radomiak Radom Form & Analysis
Radomiak’s last six league games have been a decent little tale of resilience. They began with a 1-1 draw at home to Motor Lublin on 6 April, then slipped to a narrow 1-0 defeat away at Zagłębie Lubin. Since then, the response has been strong. Widzew Łódź were beaten 2-1 in Radom, Wisła Płock were edged 1-0 away, and Lechia Gdańsk were put away 3-1 at home. That run was checked by a goalless draw at Cracovia on 11 May, but even that result had a messy edge to it, with Abdoul Tapsoba sent off after a VAR review. They’ve been competitive, and that matters.
At home, Radomiak have been excellent by their own standards. Nine wins, four draws and just three defeats from 16 league matches at their ground is a strong platform, and the defensive numbers are even better: 32 scored and only 15 conceded. That’s the sort of home record that can drag a team a long way up the table. They’re not merely surviving in Radom; they’re generally dictating matches there. The 3-1 win over Lechia and the 2-1 success against Widzew showed both sides of their game — some attacking punch, but also enough control to get over the line.
Still, there are limits. The trip to Cracovia was a reminder that Radomiak don’t always carry that same fluency away from home, and the underlying numbers from that match were ugly enough: 0.30 xG, 6 shots, only 1 on target. They were second-best for long spells and spent too much of the game chasing. That won’t frighten Lech, who are much stronger at protecting territory and forcing opponents into mistakes. Radomiak can score, and they usually do at home, but they’re not built to dominate top-of-the-table teams for long stretches. Three of their last four have gone their way, though. That’s respectable. It’s not enough to make them favourites here.
Lech Poznań Form & Analysis
Lech’s recent league form has the look of a side that knows how to avoid defeat while still keeping a championship tempo. Their last six have brought draws with Jagiellonia Białystok and GKS Katowice, plus a 4-0 hammering of Legia Warszawa, a 2-1 win at Pogoń Szczecin and a 1-0 success at Motor Lublin. The most recent outing was a 1-1 draw at home to Arka Gdynia, which was a touch frustrating given the volume of chances they created. They had 25 shots, 7 on target and 1.99 xG. That’s not a bad performance at all. It just didn’t deliver the points.
Away from home, Lech’s record is top of the division and that’s a big reason they remain on top overall. Eight wins, five draws and three defeats from 16 league trips is impressive enough, but the bigger point is how controlled they’ve been. They’ve only conceded 15 on the road and have won at Pogoń and Motor in recent weeks. That’s not a side that panics in tight venues. They manage games well, and when they turn the screw, the response can be brutal — Legia found that out the hard way in the 4-0 defeat in Poznań on 26 April.
The one slight wrinkle is that Lech’s away scoring tally, 20 goals from 16 league games, isn’t outrageous. They’re efficient rather than explosive on the road. That can keep matches closer than the league table suggests. Mind you, their balance is what stands out. They don’t need to blow opponents away if they can control territory, limit chances and nick the first goal. And that’s a big part of why this game leans their way. Their unbeaten run now stretches to nine, and they’ve got the feel of a side that won’t be fazed by Radomiak’s decent home record. They’ve been here before.
Head-to-Head
Lech have had the upper hand in this fixture for a while. The most recent meeting ended in a 4-1 home win for Lech on 23 November 2025, and that result fits a broader pattern of control. Lech are unbeaten in the last seven league meetings between the sides, and Radomiak haven’t kept a clean sheet in any of those clashes. That tells you plenty. Lech tend to find a way through, and Radomiak have usually been left chasing the game.
There have been goals in this fixture too. The sides have met for a few lively contests, including a 2-2 draw in Radom in April 2025 and another 2-2 draw on this ground in December 2023. The 1-0 and 2-1 Lech wins in previous meetings show they can win it narrowly as well as comfortably. Radomiak will fancy a response at home, but history says Lech usually get something out of this. Usually more than something.
We Predict: Away Win
We’re backing Away Win at 10/11 for this one. Lech are the better team, they’re unbeaten in nine, and their away record is the strongest in the division. Add in the fact that they’ve gone seven league meetings without losing to Radomiak, and the price starts to look very fair. Radomiak’s home record is strong, no doubt, but Lech’s quality in big moments should tilt this their way.
A 2-1 Lech Poznań win feels right. Radomiak should get chances — they usually do at home — but Lech have been much better at turning games in their favour, especially when the pressure is on. If you wanted a slightly safer angle, Lech in the Draw No Bet market would make sense too. Still, the straight away win is the play here.
