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Al-Kholood vs Al-Fateh Prediction & Betting Tips 21.05.2026

Football PredictionsSaudi Pro LeagueSaudi Pro League • Saudi Arabia
Al-Kholood logo
Al-Kholood
21 May21:00R 34
00:00:00
Al-Fateh logo
Al-Fateh
PredictionStatisticsOddsLineupsStandingsH2H

Match form loads a moment after the page opens so the main prediction can appear first; recent results are fetched right after.

Al-Kholood — Last 6
Al-Fateh — Last 6

Al-Kholood host Al-Fateh in the Saudi Pro League on Thursday evening, 21 May 2026, with both clubs looking to finish the season in better shape than their league positions suggest. This isn’t a title race or a relegation six-pointer, but it still matters. Al-Kholood are 14th on 32 points and want to pull clear of the bottom half with a strong run-in, while Al-Fateh sit 12th on 36 and are trying to put some distance between themselves and the scrappy end-of-season pack.

There’s a decent bit of pressure on both sides, just of a different kind. Al-Kholood have spent the campaign giving up too many goals and leaving points on the table at home. Al-Fateh, meanwhile, have been a little more functional but hardly convincing away from home. When you put those two things together, you don’t get a game that screams control. You get a contest that could swing on one good spell, one mistake, one moment of quality. That’s usually where these mid-table meetings are decided.

Al-Kholood Form & Analysis

Al-Kholood arrive here off a hard lesson at Al-Ahli, where they were beaten 3-0 away on 16 May. The scoreline wasn’t flattering, but the underlying picture wasn’t much kinder either: they managed only four shots and finished with 0.71 xG, while Al-Ahli created enough to make the result feel pretty routine. Before that, Des Buckingham’s side had at least been stubborn. They held Al-Okhdood to a goalless draw at home, drew 0-0 away to Al-Ittihad, and shared a 1-1 at home with Al-Fayha. That’s three draws in five league matches, which sounds respectable until you remember they’ve only won once in their last six and haven’t tasted victory since 11 April.

The home record explains a lot about their season. Al-Kholood have picked up just 12 points from 16 league matches on their own patch, with three wins, three draws and ten defeats. They’ve scored 17 and conceded 31 at home, so it’s not hard to see why matches in front of their own fans can feel uneasy. There’s no real sense of them suffocating opponents or turning games into something tidy. They’ve tended to let the opposition breathe. That’s a problem when your own attack isn’t ruthless enough to cover the gaps.

Mind you, they’re not a soft touch every week. The 2-1 win at Al-Taawoun on 11 April showed they can still nick points away from the harder fixtures, and the recent meeting with Al-Fateh earlier in the season will give them confidence too. But the bigger picture is blunt. Five league matches without a win, and only one victory in six. That’s not the kind of form you trust blindly. They’ll need to be more secure at the back here, because Al-Fateh won’t need many invitations.

Al-Fateh Form & Analysis

Al-Fateh come into this off a lift, having beaten Al-Najma SC 2-0 at home on 14 May. It was a tidy performance rather than a spectacular one: 17 shots, 6 on target, 1.89 xG and five big chances, which tells you they were in control long before the final whistle. Matías Vargas opened the scoring early, Fahad Zubaidi added the second after the break, and despite Gonçalo Rodrigues seeing red late on, the game was already settled. That was the sort of evening they needed after a couple of rough away trips.

The road form, though, is where the doubts live. Al-Fateh are 14th in the away table with only 11 points from 16 matches, just two wins, five draws and nine defeats. They’ve scored 16 away from home and conceded 29, which is a decent reflection of the trouble they’ve had balancing things on their travels. Their recent sequence away from home has been mixed at best: a 1-0 loss to Al-Riyadh, a 3-1 defeat at Al-Ahli, and before that a 1-1 draw at Al-Shabab. You can see the pattern. They’re competitive in patches, but they don’t sustain it for long enough.

Jose Manuel Gomes will be pleased that the team have at least been a bit more efficient in front of goal overall. They’ve scored 41 league goals this season, more than Al-Kholood’s 39, and their 2-2 draw with Neom SC on 2 May and 1-1 draw at Al-Shabab on 28 April show they can find a way into matches. Still, the away numbers are the concern. Can they keep it tight for 90 minutes? That’s the question. If they can’t, Al-Kholood will get chances.

The one thing Al-Fateh do have is a sense that they can hurt this opponent. They’ve won three of their last six in all competitions and, more importantly, they’ve shown some ability to react after setbacks. But their away performances remain too open for comfort. Against a home side desperate to stop the slide, that’s a shaky platform.

Head-to-Head

There’s a bit of recent history here, and Al-Kholood will like what they see. When the sides met on 20 January 2026, Al-Kholood came from it with a wild 5-2 away win at Al-Fateh. That result stands out for obvious reasons. It wasn’t a smash-and-grab either; it was a proper statement.

The two meetings before that were closer. Al-Kholood won 2-1 at home in March 2025, while the first of the three listed meetings finished 1-1 in October 2024. So Al-Kholood haven’t lost any of the last three between the sides, and that matters. Al-Fateh haven’t found a clean way through them yet. Not even close.

We Predict: Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X at 1/2 looks the right call for this one. Al-Kholood aren’t exactly flying, but they’re hard enough to beat at home for this market to hold real appeal, and Al-Fateh’s away record is still too patchy to inspire confidence. When you add in the recent head-to-head edge — especially that 5-2 win in January — the home side’s protection in this spot feels stronger than the odds might suggest.

The projected 2-1 scoreline fits the shape of the match. Al-Kholood should create enough to score, and Al-Fateh are good enough to nick one themselves, especially given how often both teams have been involved in open games away from home. Still, Al-Kholood’s home draw tendency and Al-Fateh’s shaky travel record point more to the hosts avoiding defeat than to any clear-away success. If you want a more aggressive angle, over 2.5 goals isn’t without interest, but 1X is the safer play.

Al-Kholood - Al-Fateh Lineups

Al-Kholood - Al-Fateh Stats

Team statistics for both teams

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Al-Kholood - Al-Fateh Previous Matches

Al-Kholood - Al-Fateh last 15 H2H matches

Recent matches

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Al-Kholood

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Al-Fateh

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Al-Kholood - Al-Fateh Odds

Wednesday's Bet of the Day
Total Odds11/10
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Total Odds33/1
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Total Odds14/1
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