Eyüpspor welcome Beşiktaş to Eyüp Stadium on Monday afternoon, January 26, 2026, with both teams seeking points for different reasons. The hosts sit 17th with just 14 points from 18 matches, fighting to avoid relegation, while the visitors occupy fifth place with 32 points, looking to close the gap on the European qualification spots. Beşiktaş enter as strong favorites, having won all four previous meetings between these sides.
Eyüpspor's struggles have deepened under new manager Atila Gerin, who took charge earlier this month. The hosts managed a 1-1 draw at Konyaspor on Monday, securing a rare point in their relegation battle. That result followed a winless December that saw three defeats and just one draw, including a 3-0 home loss to Fenerbahçe on December 20. Gerin has been forced to rebuild mid-season, losing 13-14 players while trying to instill a new philosophy with limited resources. Centre-back Luccas Claro remains sidelined with a cruciate ligament injury, while midfielder Emre Akbaba should return from a muscle problem.
Beşiktaş arrive with momentum under Sergen Yalçın, who has steadied the ship since replacing Ole Gunnar Solskjaer in August. The Black Eagles beat Kayserispor 1-0 on Monday to continue their climb up the table. That narrow win extended an impressive run that includes victory over Çaykur Rizespor on December 20 and a notable 2-1 triumph against rivals Fenerbahçe in the Turkish Cup on December 23. Yalçın acknowledged his side's shortcomings in attack after the Kayserispor match but praised their fighting spirit. Striker Ciro Immobile is rehabilitating a thigh strain, while midfielder Wilfred Ndidi faces a hamstring issue that should keep him out until mid-February.
Following the Konyaspor draw, Gerin said the point earned provided a "moral boost" in the relegation fight, noting his team would have accepted one point before kickoff given the squad upheaval. After the Kayserispor victory, Yalçın told supporters his team is undergoing a "serious change," urging fans to remain patient as "beautiful things will happen."
Beşiktaş have dominated this fixture, winning all four encounters by an aggregate score of 11-3. The most recent meeting saw the visitors triumph 2-1 on August 17, 2025, at Vodafone Park. Earlier matchups include a 3-1 away win for Beşiktaş on February 21, 2025, a 2-1 victory on September 22, 2024, and a commanding 4-0 thrashing on January 16, 2024.
I predict Beşiktaş and Under 3.5 Goals at 23/20 (2.15 decimal). My model assigns this outcome a 40.24% probability, with a correct score prediction of 2-0 to the visitors and expected goals of 0.79 for Eyüpspor and 2.23 for Beşiktaş. The Black Eagles have scored in all four head-to-head meetings while keeping clean sheets in half of them. The 1.44 xG gap suggests a comfortable away win without exceeding the goal threshold.