Match form loads a moment after the page opens so the main prediction can appear first; recent results are fetched right after.
FC Dordrecht host Willem II Tilburg in the Eerste Divisie on Friday evening, 24 April 2026, with both clubs chasing very different versions of success. Dordrecht sit 10th on 47 points, safely in the mid-table pack but still hunting a strong finish, while Willem II are up in third on 65 points and firmly inside the promotion picture. For John Stegeman’s side, every point matters if they want to keep the pressure on the sides above them. For Dirk Kuijt’s Dordrecht, it’s about finishing with some pride and maybe causing a few problems for one of the division’s better away teams.
There’s also a bit of history hanging over this one. These sides know each other well enough, and Willem II have had the better of the matchup far more often than not. Dordrecht will not be delighted to see that, especially with a home record that’s been fine rather than formidable. Still, they’ve shown enough going forward to suggest this won’t be a meek evening. The question is whether they can live with Willem II’s sharper edge.
The market leans strongly toward goals, and that feels about right. Dordrecht have been involved in plenty of open games, while Willem II arrive with momentum, goals in them, and an away record that gives them a real platform. You’d expect chances at both ends. The numbers point that way. So does the eye test.
Dordrecht’s recent run has been messy, which is probably the nicest way of putting it. They were thumped 4-1 away at Almere City on 17 April, and that came straight after a decent 1-0 home win over ADO Den Haag. Before that, they drew 1-1 at Cambuur, then lost 3-0 at home to Roda JC, and earlier still came out on the wrong end of a 3-1 defeat away to Jong FC Utrecht. The 2-2 draw with TOP Oss at home on 17 March feels like a long time ago now, but it does sum them up pretty well: competitive, capable of scoring, yet far too easy to rattle when the game opens up.
At home, Dordrecht have been respectable without ever looking especially secure. Their home record reads six wins, five draws and seven defeats, with 23 goals scored and 23 conceded. That’s fairly balanced on paper, but it hides the feeling that they often drift between tidy attacking spells and spells where the back line looks vulnerable to one clean break. Kuijt’s side are not short on ambition at home. They just don’t control games for long enough. One clean sheet in their last home outing against ADO Den Haag was useful, but it hasn’t changed the bigger picture.
The more worrying trend is what happens when they lose structure. Dordrecht have conceded first in plenty of recent matches, and once they’re chasing, things tend to get stretched quickly. Their overall goal record, 47 scored and 54 conceded, tells you they’re not a shut-down side. They’ll play, they’ll push forward, and they’ll leave gaps. That can make for entertaining football. It can also make for a painful evening against a team like Willem II. No one at Dordrecht will want another night like the one at Almere. That one hurt.
Willem II arrive in much better shape. Their last six matches have been a proper promotion push in miniature: a 3-0 home win over Jong AZ, a 2-1 victory against Almere City, a 1-0 success at Roda JC, a narrow 1-0 win over Jong PSV, a 2-0 home defeat to De Graafschap, then a swaggering 5-0 away win at MVV Maastricht. That’s four wins in a row in the league before the loss to De Graafschap was erased by the response. Stegeman’s side look settled. More importantly, they look hard to put off.
Away from home, Willem II have been very useful indeed. Their road record is nine wins, four draws and five defeats, with 32 goals scored and 25 conceded. That’s one of the better away profiles in the division, and it fits the broader pattern: they don’t just travel well, they travel with intent. The 1-0 win at Roda JC was the sort of mature away performance good teams produce. The 5-0 demolition of MVV showed the other side of them — sharp, ruthless, and perfectly happy to turn a match into a rout once they’re on top.
There’s a nice balance to Willem II right now. They’re not just grinding out results, even if they’ve done plenty of that. They’re also producing clean, efficient attacking football. The recent 3-0 win over Jong AZ was especially convincing, with a strong first half and enough control to shut the game down after the interval. They’ve scored nine goals across their last four wins and conceded only once in that run. That’s the sort of sequence that travels. It travels well. And against a Dordrecht side that can leave space behind them, Willem II should fancy their chances of getting a foothold early.
The head-to-head record is firmly in Willem II’s favour. They beat Dordrecht 2-0 in Tilburg on 6 December 2025, and that came after a brutal 7-0 cup win in October. Go back a little further and the pattern is still pretty clear: Willem II have regularly found ways to get the better of this fixture, including a 2-0 league win in August 2023 and a 1-0 success in February 2023.
Dordrecht have managed to nick the odd positive, including a 2-1 home win in May 2025 and a 1-1 draw in 2024, but those results haven’t changed the overall feel. Willem II tend to land the bigger punches. That matters here because psychological edges count for plenty when one side arrives with promotion pressure on their shoulders and the other is trying to prove it can live with the division’s stronger clubs.
We are backing Over 2.5 Goals at 8/13 for this one. It’s the cleanest angle on the game. Dordrecht’s home matches have generally been open enough, Willem II are in strong scoring form, and both sides carry enough attacking threat to drag this beyond a quiet 1-0 type of contest. The xG projection also nudges in the same direction, with Dordrecht at 1.5 and Willem II at 1.6. That’s a lively outlook.
A 1-2 away win feels the most natural scoreline. Willem II have the sharper current form, the better away record, and the stronger recent results in this fixture. Dordrecht should still find a moment or two — they usually do at home — but they’ve been too leaky against better sides, and Willem II have been efficient enough to punish that. If you wanted a side angle, Willem II to score first has plenty of appeal too.
League and venue; tap a row for the match page.
League
Range
Venue
No matches for these filters.
No matches for these filters.
Percentages from finished games after filters (1X2, goals, BTTS).
League
Range
Venue
