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FC Emmen vs De Graafschap Prediction & Betting Tips 24.04.2026

Football PredictionsEerste DivisieEerste Divisie • Netherlands
FC Emmen logo
FC Emmen
24 Apr21:00R 38
00:00:00
De Graafschap logo
De Graafschap
PredictionStatisticsOddsLineupsStandingsH2H

Match form loads a moment after the page opens so the main prediction can appear first; recent results are fetched right after.

FC Emmen — Last 6
De Graafschap — Last 6

FC Emmen welcome De Graafschap to De Oude Meerdijk on Friday evening, 24 April 2026, in the Eerste Divisie, and the stakes are very different for each side. Emmen are trying to steady themselves after a choppy spell and finish the season with some pride intact, while De Graafschap arrive with promotion ambitions still alive and every point carrying real weight in the race near the top.

It’s a meeting between 15th and 4th, between a side that’s been leaking goals and a side that’s still pushing hard for a place in the end-of-season shake-up. Emmen have 42 points from 37 matches and a negative goal difference that tells its own story. De Graafschap sit on 63 and have looked far more like a team built for the upper reaches of the division. That said, this isn’t a simple top-versus-bottom sort of preview. Emmen are dangerous at home, De Graafschap are open enough to make things messy, and the recent head-to-head record has produced enough goals to keep everyone honest.

The form lines also point towards an entertaining night. Emmen’s last six have been full of swings, stoppage-time drama and a few defensive collapses. De Graafschap, meanwhile, have carried much more momentum, with wins arriving in clusters and the attack doing real damage. You wouldn’t expect either manager, Menno Van Dam or Marinus Dijkhuizen, to spend much time worrying about damage limitation. This should be played on the front foot.

FC Emmen Form & Analysis

Emmen’s recent run has been a bit of a rollercoaster, and not the fun kind. They opened this stretch with a lively 2-2 draw away at Roda JC Kerkrade on 17 April, coming from behind in a game that had enough chances at both ends to feel loose from the start. Before that, though, there was the ugly 5-0 defeat at RKC Waalwijk on 10 April. That was a hammering. Between those two away trips came a welcome 2-1 home win over MVV Maastricht on 6 April, a result that briefly suggested they might be turning a corner. Then came another 3-3 draw at Vitesse, a 1-0 loss at FC Eindhoven, and a 4-2 home defeat to SC Cambuur. Not exactly settled. Not even close.

The bigger issue is the balance of their season. Emmen’s home record is decent enough on paper — seven wins, five draws and six defeats, with 35 goals scored and 30 conceded at De Oude Meerdijk — but the overall picture is still one of a side that gives opponents too much encouragement. They’ve scored 57 league goals, which tells you there is some attacking punch in the group. The problem is the other end. Seventy-two conceded is a heavy number, and their recent pattern of games fits that profile perfectly: they can score, they can create, and they can also unravel in a hurry. Nine straight games without a clean sheet is a glaring issue. You don’t need much more than that to understand why they’ve spent much of the campaign in the lower half.

Still, Emmen aren’t toothless. The draw at Roda showed they can scrap, and the home win over MVV was earned in a direct, no-nonsense way. They’ve also been involved in a steady stream of high-scoring matches, which is no surprise when you look at their season totals and recent scorelines. This isn’t a team built to sit on 1-0 leads. They’re far more comfortable when the game breaks open. The flip side? That can suit the opposition just fine when the other side has a stronger attack and a more stable structure. De Graafschap will fancy their chances of getting at them.

De Graafschap Form & Analysis

De Graafschap arrive in better shape and with a far clearer sense of purpose. Their last six games read like the record of a side still chasing something important. They started with a 1-2 home defeat to ADO Den Haag on 22 March, then steadied themselves with a 2-0 away win at Willem II on 28 March. A 2-2 draw at FC Eindhoven followed on 3 April, then a ruthless 5-0 home demolition of Jong AZ on 6 April. Away at VVV-Venlo on 11 April, they had to settle for another 3-3 draw, but they bounced straight back with a polished 3-1 home win over SC Cambuur on 17 April. That’s a solid response to the one setback. Better than solid, really.

Their league position backs up the eye test. Fourth place, 63 points, 74 goals scored and only 57 conceded. That’s the profile of a team with ambition. On the road they’ve been strong too, with eight wins, six draws and four defeats, plus 34 goals scored and 28 conceded away from home. That’s not the sort of away record that causes alarm bells. They travel with intent. They score with regularity. And they’ve been involved in plenty of open games away from home, which is exactly why a trip to Emmen doesn’t feel like a fixture where they’ll sit back and play cautiously for 90 minutes.

Their attacking rhythm is the most obvious weapon. Five goals against Jong AZ, three at VVV-Venlo, three against Cambuur last time out — that’s a side with confidence in the final third. The xG figures from the most recent win only reinforce that sense, with a strong chance profile and a comfortable defensive return in the 3-1 result. Mind you, they aren’t completely watertight. The draws away at FC Eindhoven and VVV-Venlo showed they can be pulled into open contests, and a 2-0 home defeat to ADO Den Haag a few weeks ago is a reminder that they’re not immune to flat spells. But right now they’re the stronger side, the more settled side, and the one that looks most likely to impose itself. That matters.

Head-to-Head

These two have developed a habit of producing lively meetings. Earlier this season, on 5 September 2025, De Graafschap lost 3-2 at home to FC Emmen in a match that carried the same kind of open, back-and-forth feel we’ve come to expect when these sides meet. Before that, De Graafschap had thumped Emmen 4-0 in January 2025, while Emmen had also taken wins of 3-0 at home in November 2024 and 2-1 in May 2024. The pattern is pretty clear: when these teams meet, goals usually follow.

There’s no shortage of recent evidence for that either. Four of the last five league meetings have gone over 2.5 goals, and the fixture hasn’t lacked drama or tempo. Emmen may have been the better of the two in some recent one-off meetings, but De Graafschap arrive with more current momentum and the stronger league position. That blend makes the goal angle far more interesting than trying to pick a clean winner.

We Predict: Over 3.5 Goals

We’re backing Over 3.5 Goals at 5/6 for this one. It’s a fair price for a match that looks built for chances at both ends. Emmen have been involved in a stream of high-scoring games — their last six have included 2-2, 3-3, 4-2 and 5-0 scorelines — while De Graafschap have been just as lively, with three against Cambuur, five against Jong AZ and three at VVV-Venlo. Neither side has been reliably shutting the door.

A 1-3 away win fits the shape of the game nicely. De Graafschap have the better attack, the stronger away record and the clearer form line. Emmen should still contribute something at home — they usually do — but their defensive numbers are too soft to trust. If you want a slightly safer angle, both teams to score has plenty of appeal too. Still, the bigger play is the goals line. This one should run.

Recent matches

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FC Emmen

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De Graafschap

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