Girona FC welcomes Getafe to the Estadi Municipal de Montilivi on Monday evening, January 26, 2026, with both sides desperate for points in contrasting circumstances. Míchel's Girona sits 11th with 24 points from 20 matches, while José Bordalás' Getafe languishes in 16th place with just 21 points. The hosts enter as clear favorites after winning four of their last five league games, a run that has reignited their campaign following a difficult December.
Girona's resurgence has been built on defensive solidity and clinical finishing. They defeated Espanyol 2-0 on Friday, extending their winning streak to three consecutive victories. That followed narrow triumphs over Osasuna (1-0) and Mallorca (2-1), with only a 3-0 home defeat to Atlético Madrid on December 21 interrupting their momentum. The return of Axel Witsel from a calf injury strengthens Míchel's midfield options, though Azzedine Ounahi remains sidelined for several more weeks with his own calf problem. Abel Ruiz is close to fitness and could provide attacking depth from the bench.
Getafe's struggles have deepened with winless run in their last five matches. They lost 1-0 to Valencia on Sunday, their third consecutive defeat after earlier losses to Real Sociedad (2-1) and Espanyol (1-0). A 1-1 draw against Rayo Vallecano on January 2 offers their only recent point. Bordalás faces a mounting injury crisis, with star striker Borja Mayoral still recovering from December knee surgery and key defenders Djene and Mario Martin suspended for this fixture. Davinchi, Abdel Abqar, and Abu Kamara all remain unavailable through muscle injuries.
Recent history favors the visitors despite their poor form. Getafe won 2-1 at home on October 31 when these sides last met, continuing a dominant head-to-head record. In their last five encounters, Getafe has won three times to Girona's two victories. However, that pattern emerged when both clubs occupied different positions in the table and when Getafe had a fully fit squad at their disposal.
My model backs Girona to win at 11/10 (2.10 decimal) with a 44.16% probability. The correct score prediction is Girona 1-0, supported by expected goals of 1.40 for the hosts against 1.02 for Getafe. Girona has won three straight matches by a single-goal margin, showcasing their ability to grind out narrow victories. The xG gap of 0.38 reflects Getafe's attacking limitations without Mayoral leading the line and their inability to create quality chances during this winless stretch.