Twelve points and a 28-56 goal difference tell the story for Livingston, who sit bottom of the Scottish Premiership heading into Sunday evening's clash at the Tony Macaroni Arena. Marvin Bartley took charge in February after David Martindale moved upstairs, inheriting a squad mired in a 22-game winless run across all competitions. Rangers arrive second in the table with 55 points under Danny Röhl, a 34-point gap between the sides, and genuine title ambitions still alive.
Livingston's form has been alarming even by the standards of a side that has managed just one league win all season. A 6-2 battering at Aberdeen was followed by back-to-back home defeats to Motherwell and Falkirk — the latter a 2-1 loss to Championship opposition in the Scottish Cup. Bartley's first competitive outing was that Falkirk defeat, showing just how steep his rescue mission is. A 2-2 draw at Dundee on February 14 was their first point in five attempts, though it barely eases a relegation picture that grows grimmer each week. With 17 league defeats already banked from 27 games, the Lions have shipped 56 goals — an average of over two per match.
Rangers have found another gear since Röhl arrived in October. His side beat Hearts 4-2 on February 15, after a 5-1 demolition of Kilmarnock and an 8-0 Scottish Cup hammering of Queen's Park. The only blemishes in a recent five-game run are a goalless draw at Hibernian and a 1-1 at Motherwell. Röhl's men have scored 47 league goals in 27 games, placing them firmly in pursuit of league leaders Celtic, with just two league defeats all season to show for anyone who has tried to stop them.
Rangers own this matchup historically. In 40 all-time meetings, they have won 30 and lost just two, with Livingston managing only two victories across the entire record. The most recent clash, on September 28, 2025, ended 2-1 to Rangers at the Tony Macaroni Arena with a stoppage-time winner sealing the points. Rangers have not lost to Livingston in their last 21 encounters — a run of 19 wins and two draws that has become a fixture in Scottish football's established order.
My prediction is Away Win & Over 1.5 goals at 1.57. Rangers arrive against a side with one league win all season, a goal difference of -28, and a caretaker manager still finding his feet — while carrying four wins from their last five across all competitions. A model probability of 54.47% backs the outcome, with the expected goals telling the same story. The xG projection (0.89–2.09) supports a 1-3 finish.