Jagoba Arrasate’s Mallorca host Manuel Pellegrini’s Real Betis in LaLiga on Sunday 15 February in a match that pits the strugglers against the European chasers. Mallorca sit 16th on 24 points (6 wins, 6 draws, 11 defeats) with 28 goals scored and 37 conceded, while Betis are fifth on 38 points (10 wins, 8 draws, 5 defeats) with 37 scored and 28 conceded. The visitors are clear favourites on form and league position, but with Mallorca fighting to pull clear of the drop and Betis aiming to stay in the European places, the result matters to both.
Mallorca’s last five games underline their inconsistency. They were beaten 3-0 at Barcelona on 7 February; the hosts took control after the break and ran out comfortable winners. Before that, a 4-1 home win over Sevilla on 2 February showed what they can do at the Estadi Mallorca Son Moix. Earlier they lost 3-0 at Atlético Madrid and 2-1 at Rayo Vallecano, and beat Athletic Club 3-2 at home. They have won two and lost three of their last five in the league, with goals at both ends in several of those games.
Real Betis go into the weekend in strong spirits after a 0-1 win at Atlético Madrid on 8 February. That was their first league victory at the Metropolitano in over 14 years and came three days after a 0-5 home defeat to Atlético in the Copa del Rey, so the result had clear psychological weight and ended the hosts’ long unbeaten run at home. In league play, Betis had already won 2-1 at home to Valencia on 1 February and 2-1 at home to Feyenoord in the Europa League, and had lost 2-1 at Deportivo Alavés on 25 January. Their last five in all competitions show a team that can score and concede against good sides.
In head-to-heads, Real Betis have the edge overall and have won the last two league meetings. In January 2025, Mallorca lost 0-1 at home to Betis in stoppage time; in September 2024, Mallorca won 1-2 in Seville. Before that, Betis won 1-0 at home in March 2023 and 2-0 at home in November 2023, with Mallorca losing 0-1 at home in January 2024. Recent meetings have often been tight and low-scoring, though both sides have shown they can find the net in this fixture.
My prediction is Both Teams To Score at 1.80. Mallorca have scored in four of their last five league games and have been more dangerous at home, while Betis have scored in their last three league matches and have also conceded in several of those. The model probability for BTTS is 62.33%, and the expected-goals split (Mallorca 1.73, Betis 1.36) points to a game with chances at both ends rather than a shutout. The xG projection (1.73–1.36) supports a 2-1 finish.