Eddie Howe's Newcastle United host David Moyes' Everton at St James' Park on Saturday evening in a fixture that carries genuine stakes at both ends of the table. The two sides are separated by just a single point — Everton sitting ninth on 37, Newcastle eleventh on 36 — making this as competitive a mid-table clash as the Premier League has to offer. With both managers eyeing top-half consolidation, the home side will fancy their chances but cannot take the visitors lightly.
Newcastle arrive in good overall form, having won four of their last five across all competitions, though their Premier League rhythm has been disrupted by European demands. Tuesday's 3-2 home win over Qarabağ completed a dominant aggregate victory in the Champions League knockout stage, while the Magpies' most recent league outing ended in a 2-1 defeat at Manchester City on last Saturday. Howe's side have shown the ability to score in tight games — three of their last five results produced three goals or more — and playing at home in front of a crowd energised by European progress works firmly in their favour.
Everton's recent Premier League form makes for uncomfortable reading for Moyes. Last Monday's 0-1 home defeat to Manchester United extended their winless run in the league to three games, with the Toffees also losing to Bournemouth before that. Their only victory across their last five outings was a 2-1 away win at Fulham in early February. In those five matches, Everton have managed just five goals while conceding seven, yet they have shown enough defensive resilience on the road — currently unbeaten in five away games — to give Moyes a platform to build from heading into Saturday's trip to Tyneside.
The head-to-head history between these clubs adds an interesting layer to proceedings. In November 2025, Newcastle ran out emphatic 4-1 winners at Everton's new Hill Dickinson Stadium, ending what had been a difficult run against the Toffees. Before that, Everton claimed a 1-0 win at St James' Park on the final day of last season. Across 33 recent meetings in total, Everton shade it with 15 wins to Newcastle's 11, and the fixture has produced goals in both nets in 58% of those encounters — a trend that shapes the betting angle for Saturday.
My prediction is Both Teams To Score at 1.70. The last three meetings between these clubs each saw the net bulge at both ends — including the 4-1 thriller at Hill Dickinson — and neither side enters Saturday able to fully shut the door. Newcastle have scored in nine of their last ten home fixtures, while Everton have found the net in four of their last five games across all venues. Moyes' side have enough quality going forward to trouble a Newcastle defence that shipped two to Qarabağ at home just four days ago, and the Magpies' attacking xG of 1.84 underlines their threat in front of their own supporters. The xG projection (1.84–1.16) supports a 2-1 finish.