Sunday evening's Matchday 26 fixture sends Cremonese to Rome's Stadio Olimpico, where 23 points in the table currently separate the two clubs. Gian Piero Gasperini's Roma sit 4th with 47 points and a clear route to Champions League football, while Davide Nicola's Cremonese are 16th on 24 points, deep in a relegation scrap. With 15 wins against five for the visitors, Roma begin the night as firm favorites on home soil.
Roma head into this fixture on a two-game unbeaten run after dropping all three points at Udinese on February 2. That 1-0 defeat prompted Gasperini to clash publicly with the press over Champions League expectations — the kind of noise that often sharpens a team's focus. A 2-0 home win over Cagliari followed, and Roma then ground out a 2-2 draw at Napoli, keeping their top-four position intact with 15 wins from 25 league games. At home, Gasperini's side have won 7 of their last 10 Serie A fixtures while conceding just 16 league goals all season.
Cremonese have not won a Serie A match since December 7, when they beat Lecce 2-0 at home — a run that has now reached ten games without victory. In that stretch, Nicola's side have collected four draws and six defeats, scoring just five goals across all ten. Their last five outings include back-to-back 0-0 draws against Hellas Verona and Genoa, and defeats to three top-half opponents: Inter, Atalanta, and Sassuolo.
In five encounters since Cremonese returned to Serie A in 2022, Roma have won three and Cremonese two, with no draws. Their most recent meeting came in November 2025, when Roma won 3-1 at Cremonese's own ground. Zoom further out and Roma's all-time advantage over this opponent reads 10 wins to just 3 losses.
My prediction is Home Win & Over 1.5 at 1.66. Roma scored 3 goals in the reverse fixture this season and have averaged 1.38 goals per home game while Cremonese have gone 10 games without a win and managed only 5 goals in that run. The xG projection (1.96–0.83) supports a 2-0 finish.