Stade Rennais welcome Le Havre to Roazhon Park on Sunday afternoon, January 18, 2026, with the hosts heavy favorites at 6th in the table against 14th-placed visitors. Habib Beye's side has collected 30 points from 17 matches and will look to extend their recent momentum, while Didier Digard's Le Havre arrive on 18 points, seeking to build on their January victory over Angers. Rennes are unbeaten in their last five meetings with Le Havre, registering three wins and two draws in that stretch.
Rennais enter this fixture with confidence following two consecutive victories. They defeated Les Sables VF 3-0 in the Coupe de France on December 21 before thrashing Lille 2-0 on January 3. Their Coupe de France momentum continued on Sunday with a 3-1 win over US Chantilly. Before that impressive run, they bounced back from a heavy 5-0 defeat at Paris Saint-Germain with a 3-1 home victory over Brest on December 13 and a gritty 1-0 away win at Metz on November 28. Habib Beye will be without Christopher Wooh, Ludovic Blas, and Brice Samba due to suspension, while Anthony Rouault remains sidelined with an ankle injury.
Le Havre have struggled for consistency but showed signs of life with their 2-1 victory over Angers on Sunday. That win followed a difficult December that saw them draw 0-0 with Paris FC on December 7, then suffer consecutive defeats to Lyon 1-0 on December 14 and Amiens 2-0 in the cup on December 21. November brought little joy either, with draws against Toulouse and Nantes followed by losses to PSG 3-0 and Lille 1-0. Digard has bolstered his squad with the January addition of experienced winger Sofiane Boufal, while Reda Khadra, Abdoulaye Touré, and Élysée Logbo remain injured.
Rennes dominated the last meeting between these sides, winning 3-0 at Le Havre in April 2025. Beyond that, their recent encounters have produced goals, averaging 3.2 per match across the last five fixtures. The overall head-to-head stands at 3 wins each from 11 meetings, with Rennais scoring 18 goals to Le Havre's 15 in that period.
My model backs Stade Rennais to win at 2/3 (1.67 decimal) with a 59.69% probability of victory. The correct score prediction is 2-1 to Rennes, supported by expected goals of 2.07 for the hosts and 1.05 for Le Havre. Rennes have found the net in nine of their last 10 home fixtures, averaging over two goals per game at Roazhon Park. The xG gap of just over a goal reflects the home side's attacking superiority while acknowledging Le Havre's recent ability to score on the road.