TSG Hoffenheim hosts 1. FC Union Berlin at the PreZero Arena this Saturday. Christian Ilzer’s side sits in third place and targets a Champions League spot. The hosts are favorites against ninth-placed Union Berlin. Hoffenheim wants to extend their run and keep pressure on the leaders.
The hosts have earned 16 points from their last six matches. They have won four straight league games with an 11-2 scoring margin. Their home record includes six consecutive victories in Sinsheim. Even with Adam Hlozek injured, the squad remains dangerous. A 2-0 win over Werder Bremen showed their current strength.
Union Berlin has only one win in their last five league games. Steffen Baumgart’s men scored just four goals during that stretch. A 3-0 loss to Dortmund showed their defensive struggles. Injuries to Tom Rothe and Robert Skov make things harder for the visitors. The team needs better finishing to climb the table.
Hoffenheim beat Union Berlin 4-2 in September. Union won twice during the 2024-25 season, including a 4-0 victory in February. The momentum has shifted toward Sinsheim since those games. Both teams have traded wins over their last three meetings. Hoffenheim’s current form makes them the tougher opponent now.
I'm backing TSG Hoffenheim at 1.80. The hosts have won six straight home matches, while the visitors have only scored four goals in their last five games. Hoffenheim's attack has produced 11 goals in four matches compared to Union's lone victory during January. The xG projection (2.42–1.23) supports a 2-1 finish.