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1. FC Slovácko vs Mladá Boleslav Prediction & Betting Tips 16.05.2026

Football Predictions

Czech First League, Relegation • Czechia

1. FC Slovácko

16 May18:00R 4

00:00:00

Mladá Boleslav

Match form loads a moment after the page opens so the main prediction can appear first; recent results are fetched right after.

1. FC Slovácko — Last 6

Mladá Boleslav — Last 6

1. FC Slovácko welcome Mladá Boleslav to a Czech First League relegation fixture on Saturday evening, 16 May 2026, with both clubs still needing points to finish the campaign properly. Slovácko sit fourth in the relegation section on 30 points overall, while Boleslav are second on 37, which tells you this isn’t a dead rubber. There’s still pride, positioning and momentum on the line. For Roman Skuhravý’s side, it’s about building on a useful late-season lift. For Aleš Majer’s team, it’s about stopping the slide before it turns into something uglier.

Both sides have already travelled a bumpy road to get here. Slovácko have dragged themselves through a mixed run, and their last two results have at least given them something to stand on: a 2-1 home win over Baník Ostrava and a 1-0 away victory at Dukla Praha. Boleslav, though, have gone the other way. They were beaten 2-1 at home by Dukla Praha on 12 May, and that followed a draw with Zlín and a stalemate at Baník. Their final stretch is short on conviction. That matters in a game like this.

1. FC Slovácko Form & Analysis

Slovácko’s recent form has a split personality. For a while they looked stuck in the mud, losing three on the spin to Dukla Praha at home, Sigma Olomouc away and Hradec Králové at home. Those defeats weren’t just one-off setbacks either; they exposed a side that was conceding too freely and struggling to control games. Then came a reset. First they edged Baník Ostrava 2-1 at home on 12 May, then they followed it with a 1-0 win at Dukla Praha on 9 May, and suddenly the mood around Roman Skuhravý’s side has changed.

That Baník victory was especially encouraging because it wasn’t a fluky smash-and-grab. Slovácko were compact, made their moments count and managed to survive a contest that could easily have got messy. The numbers from that match were tight — 0.48 expected goals to Baník’s 0.44 — but Slovácko found the sharper edge in front of goal and that’s been the difference in a season where they’ve often been too loose at one end to compensate at the other. They’ve now gone three matches unbeaten since that 1-2 home loss to Dukla Praha on 25 April. That’s a decent platform. Nothing more, nothing less.

At home, Slovácko’s season has been respectable rather than dominant. They’ve won five, drawn three and lost eight at their ground, scoring 19 and conceding 22. The balance is a bit grim, really. They can still hurt teams there, but they’re not the sort of side that shuts opponents down for long spells. Their home numbers sit almost exactly where you’d expect from a team capable of nicking goals but not quite controlling the tempo. The positive for backers of goals here is simple: Slovácko have found the net in enough home matches to keep this fixture lively, and they’re on a 1.2 xG projection for this one. That’s not a warning sign for attacking intent. It’s an invitation.

Mladá Boleslav Form & Analysis

Boleslav arrive with a different kind of problem. Their last six have produced too many flat performances and not enough authority. The 2-1 defeat at home to Dukla Praha on 12 May was the latest frustration, and it followed a 1-1 draw with Zlín, a goalless draw at Baník Ostrava and a 3-0 away win at Karviná. That win at Karviná was bright enough, but it already feels like a brief outlier. Since then, the touch has deserted them again. Three matches without a win is the current run, and the last two have been particularly awkward.

What stands out most is how uneven Boleslav have been away from home. On paper, their away record is the best in the division at this stage of the season, which sounds impressive until you look at the detail. They’ve gone 4-6-6 on the road, scoring 21 and conceding 24. So yes, they can travel. They can also be got at. That’s the key point. Even in their better away performances, they don’t always look secure enough to close out games. The 0-0 at Baník and the 0-0 at Liberec showed some resistance, but they’ve also shipped three at Karviná and lost 2-1 to Dukla at home, where they were second best for big chances by a long way.

The recent loss to Dukla was a bad look. Boleslav actually had more shots, 18 to 13, but they produced only 0.92 expected goals and allowed 2.10 at the other end. That’s not the profile of a side in command. Their attacking threat exists, but it comes in bursts rather than waves, and the defensive side of the game has started to wobble when they’re asked to defend transitions or sustain pressure. You’d expect them to score here. You wouldn’t trust them to keep Slovácko out for 90 minutes. That’s the problem.

Head-to-Head

This fixture has been stubbornly even for a while. The last meeting in March ended 2-2 at Slovácko, and that followed a 0-0 draw in Boleslav in October. Go back a little further and the pattern holds: another 2-2 at Boleslav in May 2025, 1-1 at Slovácko in November 2024, and a 3-0 home win for Boleslav in July 2024 standing out as the exception rather than the rule.

The broader picture is pretty clear. Neither side has been able to dominate this matchup for long, and the draws have been persistent. That makes a clean call on the result difficult, but it does lean you toward a game where both teams usually find a way into it. Slovácko haven’t lost the last four meetings, while Boleslav haven’t lost the last five against them. That sort of balance rarely points to a one-sided night.

We Predict: Both Teams To Score

We are backing Both Teams To Score at 8/13 for this one. It’s the strongest angle on the board, and the case is straightforward. Slovácko have scored in enough home games to stay dangerous, they’ve just beaten Baník and Dukla, and their own recent xG profile suggests they’re not being held down by opposition alone. Boleslav, for all their wobble, still carry enough away threat to nick one — and their road record tells you they usually do. Neither defence has looked watertight enough to inspire much confidence.

The pick fits the numbers and the shape of the fixture. These sides drew 2-2 in March, 0-0 in October and 2-2 again the season before. A repeat of that pattern wouldn’t shock anyone, but 1-1 feels the cleanest scoreline to land on. Slovácko have the better current momentum, Boleslav have the better overall standing, and both are quite capable of giving something away. A low-tempo stalemate is possible, yet the more natural read is that each team gets on the scoresheet. If you wanted a saver, over 2.0 goals would be the alternative — though that’s a touch more exposed than BTTS in a game where the draw keeps flashing in the background.