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Alemannia Aachen vs TSV Havelse Prediction & Betting Tips 16.05.2026

Football Predictions

3. Liga • Germany

Alemannia Aachen

16 May14:30R 38

00:00:00

TSV Havelse

Match form loads a moment after the page opens so the main prediction can appear first; recent results are fetched right after.

Alemannia Aachen — Last 6

TSV Havelse — Last 6

Alemannia Aachen welcome TSV Havelse to the Tivoli on Saturday afternoon in 3. Liga, with the hosts trying to keep their push in the top half alive and the visitors still fighting to drag themselves clear of danger. Aachen sit seventh on 61 points, a solid return built on 18 wins, while Havelse are down in 17th with only 35 points and plenty of pressure hanging over them. There’s a clear gap in the table, but this one still carries a bit of bite. The visitors are scrapping for every point they can get.

For Mersad Selimbegovic’s side, this is about finishing strongly and protecting a decent season from any late wobble. For Samir Ferchichi and Havelse, it’s more basic than that. They need results, and quickly, if they’re going to drag themselves away from the lower end of the division. The first meeting between these sides this season finished 1-1 in Havelse back in December, so Aachen won’t be taking this for granted. But they do arrive with the stronger rhythm and the better home numbers. That matters.

Alemannia Aachen Form & Analysis

Aachen’s recent run has had a proper edge to it. They went to FC Viktoria Köln on 10 May and walked away with a 3-0 win, a result that looked every inch as convincing as the scoreline suggests. Before that, they had to settle for a 1-1 draw at home to Hansa Rostock, but there’s no shame in that. The home crowd saw a 3-1 win over MSV Duisburg, then a 3-1 victory away at Jahn Regensburg, and earlier a 3-1 home success against VfB Stuttgart II. Go back a little further and the 1-1 draw at Saarbrücken underlined the one real theme in their spring form: they don’t lose much.

That unbeaten run is now at 11 matches, which is the sort of sequence that gives a team real confidence at this stage of the season. Aachen have not just been grinding out results either. They’ve scored in bunches, and when they get on top they tend to stay there. At home, the numbers are tidy rather than dominant: eight wins, two draws and eight defeats, with 29 scored and 29 conceded. Even so, that’s a balanced record, not a flimsy one. They’re not leaking goals in front of their own fans. They’re just not entirely locking teams out either.

The broader profile is clear enough. Aachen have 70 league goals this season, which tells you they’ve got attacking tools, and their recent away win in Köln was backed by a sharp xG return of 2.99 and a 14-6 shot advantage. That wasn’t a smash-and-grab. It was a performance with control. The flip side is that they do leave openings now and then, which is why the home goals-against total sits level with the goals for. Still, against a side as fragile as Havelse on the road, Aachen should expect chances. Plenty of them.

TSV Havelse Form & Analysis

Havelse arrive in a far messier state, even if their last six results have been erratic rather than hopeless. They beat Schweinfurt 3-2 at home on 10 May, but that was a game they had to survive as much as win, especially after Noah Plume’s second yellow left them down to ten men. Before that, they were beaten 4-0 away at SC Verl, which was a rough night by any standard. Between those swings came a 3-2 home win over Stuttgart II, a 2-1 loss at Ulm, a 2-0 home victory over Saarbrücken and a 4-1 away win at Wehen Wiesbaden. It’s a strange mix. Big wins, heavy defeats, very little middle ground.

That sort of form doesn’t inspire huge confidence before a trip like this. Havelse have 35 points from 37 matches and a defensive record that keeps dragging them back. They’ve conceded 83 league goals overall, and the away split is even tougher to stomach: just two wins, four draws and 12 defeats from 18 trips, with 25 scored and 44 conceded. That’s the profile of a side that can nick something on their day, but far too often gets exposed once the game opens up. Can they keep it together in Aachen? That’s the real question. Recent evidence says no.

There are attacking signs, to be fair. Havelse have scored 56 league goals and have found the net in enough games to stay awkward. They also come into this having scored three against Schweinfurt, and that was despite a numerical disadvantage for much of the match. But the defensive side keeps undoing them. Their away record tells the story. They don’t travel well, they don’t keep clean sheets, and they tend to give opponents a way back into the contest. If Aachen start quickly, Havelse could be in trouble before half-time. That would suit the hosts just fine.

Head-to-Head

The only meeting on record between these sides this season ended level, with TSV Havelse and Alemannia Aachen drawing 1-1 on 21 December 2025. It was a reminder that, even with the league table leaning one way, Aachen haven’t yet proven they can simply steamroll this opponent.

That said, one draw doesn’t shift the wider picture much. Aachen come into this game with better form, a stronger defensive balance, and the kind of home record that should make them favourites against an away side who’ve lost 12 of 18 on the road. The December result matters a little. Not a lot.

We Predict: Away Win

We’re backing Away Win at 9/2 for this one. It’s a bold call, no question, but the price is generous enough to tempt. Aachen are the stronger side on paper and in the table, yet Havelse’s recent habit of turning games into chaos gives this a live upset feel — especially when you factor in the visitors’ scoring touch and Aachen’s knack for conceding at home. A 1-2 away win is the call.

The case for Havelse is simple. Aachen have been excellent, but they’ve also given up goals in games they’ve controlled, and Havelse are rarely blanked for long. The visitors have scored in enough recent matches to suggest they’ll get chances again here. If Aachen dominate territory but leave gaps, Ferchichi’s side can punish them. An alternative angle would be both teams to score, which fits the shape of the fixture nicely, but the stronger value play is the away side at a big price.