Levski Sofia – CSKA Sofia11h 13m

Botev Plovdiv – Cherno More Varna14h 13m

Arda Kardzhali – Lokomotiv Plovdiv14h 13m

SC Freiburg – RB Leipzig11h 43m

FC Bayern München – 1. FC Köln11h 43m

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SV Werder Bremen – Borussia Dortmund11h 43m

1. FC Heidenheim – 1. FSV Mainz 0511h 43m

FC St. Pauli – VfL Wolfsburg11h 43m

Moreirense – AVS - Futebol SAD9h 13m

Famalicão – FC Alverca9h 13m

Sporting CP – Gil Vicente9h 13m

FC Porto – Santa Clara9h 13m

Estoril Praia – Benfica9h 13m

CD Nacional – Vitória SC9h 13m

Casa Pia – Rio Ave9h 13m

FC Arouca – Tondela9h 13m

Sporting Braga – CF Estrela Amadora9h 13m

Willem II Tilburg – Almere City FC16h 13m

Celtic – Heart of Midlothian9h 43m

Falkirk FC – Rangers9h 43m

Hibernian – Motherwell9h 43m

FC Lausanne-Sport – Grasshopper Club Zürich14h 13m

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RC Sporting Charleroi – KVC Westerlo12h 13m

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Sint-Truidense VV – KAA Gent16h 58m

Al-Hilal – Neom SC14h 18m

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Al-Ahli – Al-Kholood16h 13m

Chelsea – Manchester City12h 13m

Real Sociedad B U21 – Mirandés10h 13m

AD Ceuta – Málaga CF12h 28m

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Almería – Las Palmas14h 43m

Real Racing Club – Real Valladolid14h 43m

Granada – Burgos Club de Fútbol14h 43m

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SCR Altach – SV Ried13h 13m

FC Blau Weiss Linz – Grazer AK 190213h 13m

GAIS – Degerfors IF11h 13m

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Motor Lublin – Cracovia10h 58m

Wisła Płock – Górnik Zabrze13h 43m

Radomiak Radom – Lech Poznań16h 28m

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MFK Karviná – SK Sigma Olomouc13h 13m

AFC Unirea 04 Slobozia – UTA Arad13h 13m

FC Farul Constanța – FC Metaloglobus București13h 13m

FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc – FC Botoșani13h 13m

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HNK Gorica – NK Osijek12h 13m

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Kisvárda FC – ETO FC Győr13h 28m

Diósgyőri VTK – Paksi FC13h 28m

Ferencváros TC – Zalaegerszegi TE13h 28m

Debreceni VSC – Újpest13h 28m

Sligo Rovers – Galway United16h 58m

1. FC Saarbrücken – F.C. Hansa Rostock9h 43m

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MSV Duisburg – FC Viktoria Köln9h 43m

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Genoa vs Milan Prediction & Betting Tips 17.05.2026

Football Predictions

Serie A • Italy

Genoa

17 May16:00R 1

00:00:00

Milan

Match form loads a moment after the page opens so the main prediction can appear first; recent results are fetched right after.

Genoa — Last 6

Milan — Last 6

Genoa host Milan on Sunday afternoon in Serie A, with Daniele De Rossi’s side looking to finish a steady season on a positive note while Massimiliano Allegri’s Milan are chasing the sort of result that keeps them firmly in the Champions League places. It’s the kind of late-spring league meeting that can easily lose a little edge on paper, but the table keeps it alive. Genoa are safe enough in 14th, yet they won’t want to drift through the final stretch. Milan, sitting fourth with 67 points, need to keep the pressure on above them and protect what they’ve built.

There’s also a clear contrast in ambition and pressure. Genoa’s campaign has been functional rather than flashy: enough good spells to avoid trouble, enough rough nights to stop anything more ambitious. Milan’s season has been better overall, but the recent wobble has made every point feel heavier. They arrive on the back of a frustrating home loss to Atalanta, and that won’t have done much for the mood. Still, their away record is a serious asset. On the road, they’ve been one of the stronger sides in the division. That matters here.

Genoa Form & Analysis

Genoa’s last few weeks have been a mixed bag, and that’s putting it kindly. They were held to a 0-0 draw at Fiorentina on 10 May, a result that felt sturdy enough, even if it never really caught fire. Before that came another goalless stalemate away to Atalanta, which is a decent point on the face of it. The problem is what came in between and just before it: a 0-2 home defeat to Como, then a 1-2 win at Pisa, a 2-1 home success against Sassuolo, and a 0-2 loss away to Juventus. That’s a season in miniature. A bit of fight, a bit of chaos, and not much consistency.

The home numbers explain the mood pretty well. Genoa have taken 22 points from 18 league matches at their ground, with six wins, four draws and eight defeats. They’ve scored 21 and conceded 24 at home. Not disastrous, but not the sort of record that scares anyone coming to Marassi either. They can nick a game when they get momentum. They can also go flat very quickly. Two home defeats in their last three league matches is the blunt truth of it, and the 0-2 loss to Como was especially awkward because it lacked spark and control. That won’t encourage much confidence ahead of a visit from Milan.

What Genoa have done well lately is stay competitive without opening themselves up too much. Their two most recent draws were both away, both 0-0, and both suggest a side that can organise itself. The flip side? Goals have been thin on the ground. They’ve scored just once in their last three and haven’t won in that stretch. That’s not a disaster, but it leaves them with a hard ceiling. If they fall behind against a team like Milan, they’ll need to find something they haven’t always had lately: a quick response. Three wins from ten at home would be a fair way of describing the edge of the problem. They’re not getting enough clean, dominant performances at Marassi.

The xG numbers from the draw at Fiorentina fit the picture too. Genoa managed only 0.50 expected goals and produced just one shot on target. That’s not enough against a side of Milan’s calibre. They can dig in, sure. But if they’re this blunt again, they’ll be relying on Milan to waste their chances. That’s a dangerous plan.

Milan Form & Analysis

Milan’s recent form has been messier than their league position suggests. The 2-3 home defeat to Atalanta on 10 May was a wild one, with goals flying in at both ends and neither defence looking particularly secure. Before that, they lost 0-2 at Sassuolo, drew 0-0 with Juventus at San Siro, beat Hellas Verona 1-0 away, then fell 0-3 to Udinese at home and 0-1 at Napoli. That’s a difficult run to dress up. They’ve managed only one win in their last six, and that’s the reality Allegri will be trying to fix.

Mind you, the away form is the reason they’re still in such a strong league position. Milan’s record on the road is excellent: 10 wins, 5 draws and only 3 losses from 18 away matches, with 26 goals scored and just 13 conceded. That’s the profile of a proper top-four side. They don’t need to dominate every game to get results away from home. They know how to manage moments, shut games down and pick their way through tricky venues. A 1-0 win at Hellas Verona is exactly the sort of performance that’s carried them through the season. Efficient, controlled, unspectacular. Very Milan under pressure.

The issue is that the recent defeats have been noisy. The loss to Atalanta was not some isolated collapse; it was another game in which Milan created enough to be involved but still couldn’t get the balance right at the back. Their underlying output against Atalanta was decent enough, with 1.42 xG and 20 shots, but they still lost 3-2. That says plenty. They’re still producing chances, yet they’re giving up too much at the other end when the contest gets stretched. That won’t go unnoticed at Genoa, where one sloppy spell can drag a tight game into trouble.

There’s also a broader pattern here: Milan don’t score freely away from home, but they usually don’t need to. Twenty-six goals in 18 away matches is solid rather than explosive, and the 13 conceded is the key figure. They travel well because they control the game better than most visitors. If they keep Genoa at arm’s length, chances should come. The question is whether they can keep the back door shut long enough. On recent evidence, that’s not guaranteed. Still, against a Genoa side that’s struggled for goals, they’ll fancy themselves to do enough.

Head-to-Head

This fixture has had a few tight, awkward chapters recently. The meeting earlier this year ended 1-1 at San Siro, and that followed Milan’s 2-1 win at Genoa in May 2025. Before that, the sides drew 0-0 in Milan in December 2024, while the match at San Siro in May 2024 finished 3-3, which was far more open than anyone probably expected. Go back a little further and Milan have usually had the edge, including a 1-0 away win in October 2023 and a couple of more comfortable home results before that.

There’s a sense that Genoa can make Milan work for it, but the longer-term pattern still leans Milan’s way. The most useful angle from the recent meetings is that these games are often cagey. Five of the last seven league head-to-heads have gone under 2.5 goals. That fits the shape of this one pretty well.

We Predict: Away Win

We’re backing Away Win at 8/11 here. That’s the clearest call on the card. Milan’s away record is too strong to ignore, and Genoa’s home numbers don’t suggest they’re equipped to turn this into a real grind for 90 minutes. Allegri’s side have been patchy overall, no doubt, but they’ve still got the better squad profile, the better away record and the stronger league motivation. That usually counts for plenty at this stage of the season.

A 1-2 Milan win looks the right scoreline. Genoa can make a nuisance of themselves, and their recent draws show they’re not just rolling over, but Milan should create enough to edge it if they stay composed. The one caution is their defensive form, which has been loose lately. If you wanted a slightly safer play, Milan to win and under 4.5 goals would fit the game script nicely. But the straight away win is the main angle.