Levski Sofia – CSKA Sofia10h 11m

Botev Plovdiv – Cherno More Varna13h 11m

Arda Kardzhali – Lokomotiv Plovdiv13h 11m

SC Freiburg – RB Leipzig10h 41m

FC Bayern München – 1. FC Köln10h 41m

Bayer 04 Leverkusen – Hamburger SV10h 41m

1. FC Union Berlin – FC Augsburg10h 41m

Borussia M'gladbach – TSG Hoffenheim10h 41m

Eintracht Frankfurt – VfB Stuttgart10h 41m

SV Werder Bremen – Borussia Dortmund10h 41m

1. FC Heidenheim – 1. FSV Mainz 0510h 41m

FC St. Pauli – VfL Wolfsburg10h 41m

Moreirense – AVS - Futebol SAD8h 11m

Famalicão – FC Alverca8h 11m

Sporting CP – Gil Vicente8h 11m

FC Porto – Santa Clara8h 11m

Estoril Praia – Benfica8h 11m

CD Nacional – Vitória SC8h 11m

Casa Pia – Rio Ave8h 11m

FC Arouca – Tondela8h 11m

Sporting Braga – CF Estrela Amadora8h 11m

Willem II Tilburg – Almere City FC15h 11m

Celtic – Heart of Midlothian8h 41m

Falkirk FC – Rangers8h 41m

Hibernian – Motherwell8h 41m

FC Lausanne-Sport – Grasshopper Club Zürich13h 11m

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FC Winterthur – FC Luzern13h 11m

RC Sporting Charleroi – KVC Westerlo11h 11m

Standard Liège – KRC Genk13h 26m

Sint-Truidense VV – KAA Gent15h 56m

Al-Hilal – Neom SC13h 16m

Al-Okhdood – Al-Khaleej13h 16m

Al-Ahli – Al-Kholood15h 11m

Chelsea – Manchester City11h 11m

Real Sociedad B U21 – Mirandés9h 11m

AD Ceuta – Málaga CF11h 26m

Cultural Leonesa – Eibar11h 26m

Almería – Las Palmas13h 41m

Real Racing Club – Real Valladolid13h 41m

Granada – Burgos Club de Fútbol13h 41m

Juve Stabia – Monza15h 11m

Wolfsberger AC – WSG Tirol12h 11m

SCR Altach – SV Ried12h 11m

FC Blau Weiss Linz – Grazer AK 190212h 11m

GAIS – Degerfors IF10h 11m

Halmstads BK – IF Elfsborg10h 11m

Motor Lublin – Cracovia9h 56m

Wisła Płock – Górnik Zabrze12h 41m

Radomiak Radom – Lech Poznań15h 26m

AEL Novibet – APS Atromitos Athinon13h 11m

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FK Novi Pazar – FK Železničar Pančevo12h 11m

FK Radnik Surdulica – FK Crvena zvezda12h 11m

FK Napredak Kruševac – FK Radnički 192312h 11m

FK TSC Bačka Topola – FK Radnički Niš12h 11m

FK Javor Ivanjica – FK Mladost Lučani12h 11m

FK Spartak Subotica – FK IMT Beograd12h 11m

FK Teplice – Dukla Praha12h 11m

Baník Ostrava – FC Zlín12h 11m

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MFK Karviná – SK Sigma Olomouc12h 11m

AFC Unirea 04 Slobozia – UTA Arad12h 11m

FC Farul Constanța – FC Metaloglobus București12h 11m

FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc – FC Botoșani12h 11m

FC Petrolul Ploiești – SC Oțelul Galați12h 11m

FC Hermannstadt – FCSB12h 11m

FC Dinamo București – CFR 1907 Cluj14h 41m

Universitatea Craiova – FC Universitatea Cluj14h 41m

HNK Gorica – NK Osijek11h 11m

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb – HNK Hajduk Split13h 26m

Kisvárda FC – ETO FC Győr12h 26m

Diósgyőri VTK – Paksi FC12h 26m

Ferencváros TC – Zalaegerszegi TE12h 26m

Debreceni VSC – Újpest12h 26m

Sligo Rovers – Galway United15h 56m

1. FC Saarbrücken – F.C. Hansa Rostock8h 41m

VfB Stuttgart II U21 – VfL Osnabrück8h 41m

SV Wehen Wiesbaden – TSG Hoffenheim II U238h 41m

FC Ingolstadt 04 – SV Waldhof Mannheim8h 41m

SSV Ulm 1846 – Rot-Weiss Essen8h 41m

SSV Jahn Regensburg – Energie Cottbus8h 41m

MSV Duisburg – FC Viktoria Köln8h 41m

Alemannia Aachen – TSV Havelse8h 41m

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Charlotte FC – Toronto FCTomorrow 02:30

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Genoa vs Milan Prediction & Betting Tips 17.05.2026

Football Predictions

Serie A • Italy

Genoa

17 May16:00R 37

00:00:00

Milan

Match form loads a moment after the page opens so the main prediction can appear first; recent results are fetched right after.

Genoa — Last 6

Milan — Last 6

Genoa host Milan on Sunday afternoon in Serie A, with Daniele De Rossi’s side looking to finish a steady season on a positive note while Massimiliano Allegri’s Milan are chasing the sort of result that keeps them firmly in the Champions League places. It’s the kind of late-spring league meeting that can easily lose a little edge on paper, but the table keeps it alive. Genoa are safe enough in 14th, yet they won’t want to drift through the final stretch. Milan, sitting fourth with 67 points, need to keep the pressure on above them and protect what they’ve built.

There’s also a clear contrast in ambition and pressure. Genoa’s campaign has been functional rather than flashy: enough good spells to avoid trouble, enough rough nights to stop anything more ambitious. Milan’s season has been better overall, but the recent wobble has made every point feel heavier. They arrive on the back of a frustrating home loss to Atalanta, and that won’t have done much for the mood. Still, their away record is a serious asset. On the road, they’ve been one of the stronger sides in the division. That matters here.

Genoa Form & Analysis

Genoa’s last few weeks have been a mixed bag, and that’s putting it kindly. They were held to a 0-0 draw at Fiorentina on 10 May, a result that felt sturdy enough, even if it never really caught fire. Before that came another goalless stalemate away to Atalanta, which is a decent point on the face of it. The problem is what came in between and just before it: a 0-2 home defeat to Como, then a 1-2 win at Pisa, a 2-1 home success against Sassuolo, and a 0-2 loss away to Juventus. That’s a season in miniature. A bit of fight, a bit of chaos, and not much consistency.

The home numbers explain the mood pretty well. Genoa have taken 22 points from 18 league matches at their ground, with six wins, four draws and eight defeats. They’ve scored 21 and conceded 24 at home. Not disastrous, but not the sort of record that scares anyone coming to Marassi either. They can nick a game when they get momentum. They can also go flat very quickly. Two home defeats in their last three league matches is the blunt truth of it, and the 0-2 loss to Como was especially awkward because it lacked spark and control. That won’t encourage much confidence ahead of a visit from Milan.

What Genoa have done well lately is stay competitive without opening themselves up too much. Their two most recent draws were both away, both 0-0, and both suggest a side that can organise itself. The flip side? Goals have been thin on the ground. They’ve scored just once in their last three and haven’t won in that stretch. That’s not a disaster, but it leaves them with a hard ceiling. If they fall behind against a team like Milan, they’ll need to find something they haven’t always had lately: a quick response. Three wins from ten at home would be a fair way of describing the edge of the problem. They’re not getting enough clean, dominant performances at Marassi.

The xG numbers from the draw at Fiorentina fit the picture too. Genoa managed only 0.50 expected goals and produced just one shot on target. That’s not enough against a side of Milan’s calibre. They can dig in, sure. But if they’re this blunt again, they’ll be relying on Milan to waste their chances. That’s a dangerous plan.

Milan Form & Analysis

Milan’s recent form has been messier than their league position suggests. The 2-3 home defeat to Atalanta on 10 May was a wild one, with goals flying in at both ends and neither defence looking particularly secure. Before that, they lost 0-2 at Sassuolo, drew 0-0 with Juventus at San Siro, beat Hellas Verona 1-0 away, then fell 0-3 to Udinese at home and 0-1 at Napoli. That’s a difficult run to dress up. They’ve managed only one win in their last six, and that’s the reality Allegri will be trying to fix.

Mind you, the away form is the reason they’re still in such a strong league position. Milan’s record on the road is excellent: 10 wins, 5 draws and only 3 losses from 18 away matches, with 26 goals scored and just 13 conceded. That’s the profile of a proper top-four side. They don’t need to dominate every game to get results away from home. They know how to manage moments, shut games down and pick their way through tricky venues. A 1-0 win at Hellas Verona is exactly the sort of performance that’s carried them through the season. Efficient, controlled, unspectacular. Very Milan under pressure.

The issue is that the recent defeats have been noisy. The loss to Atalanta was not some isolated collapse; it was another game in which Milan created enough to be involved but still couldn’t get the balance right at the back. Their underlying output against Atalanta was decent enough, with 1.42 xG and 20 shots, but they still lost 3-2. That says plenty. They’re still producing chances, yet they’re giving up too much at the other end when the contest gets stretched. That won’t go unnoticed at Genoa, where one sloppy spell can drag a tight game into trouble.

There’s also a broader pattern here: Milan don’t score freely away from home, but they usually don’t need to. Twenty-six goals in 18 away matches is solid rather than explosive, and the 13 conceded is the key figure. They travel well because they control the game better than most visitors. If they keep Genoa at arm’s length, chances should come. The question is whether they can keep the back door shut long enough. On recent evidence, that’s not guaranteed. Still, against a Genoa side that’s struggled for goals, they’ll fancy themselves to do enough.

Head-to-Head

This fixture has had a few tight, awkward chapters recently. The meeting earlier this year ended 1-1 at San Siro, and that followed Milan’s 2-1 win at Genoa in May 2025. Before that, the sides drew 0-0 in Milan in December 2024, while the match at San Siro in May 2024 finished 3-3, which was far more open than anyone probably expected. Go back a little further and Milan have usually had the edge, including a 1-0 away win in October 2023 and a couple of more comfortable home results before that.

There’s a sense that Genoa can make Milan work for it, but the longer-term pattern still leans Milan’s way. The most useful angle from the recent meetings is that these games are often cagey. Five of the last seven league head-to-heads have gone under 2.5 goals. That fits the shape of this one pretty well.

We Predict: Away Win

We’re backing Away Win at 8/11 here. That’s the clearest call on the card. Milan’s away record is too strong to ignore, and Genoa’s home numbers don’t suggest they’re equipped to turn this into a real grind for 90 minutes. Allegri’s side have been patchy overall, no doubt, but they’ve still got the better squad profile, the better away record and the stronger league motivation. That usually counts for plenty at this stage of the season.

A 1-2 Milan win looks the right scoreline. Genoa can make a nuisance of themselves, and their recent draws show they’re not just rolling over, but Milan should create enough to edge it if they stay composed. The one caution is their defensive form, which has been loose lately. If you wanted a slightly safer play, Milan to win and under 4.5 goals would fit the game script nicely. But the straight away win is the main angle.