Levski Sofia – CSKA Sofia9h 2m

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SC Freiburg – RB Leipzig9h 32m

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FC Arouca – Tondela7h 2m

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Real Sociedad B U21 – Mirandés8h 2m

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FC Blau Weiss Linz – Grazer AK 190211h 2m

GAIS – Degerfors IF9h 2m

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Wisła Płock – Górnik Zabrze11h 32m

Radomiak Radom – Lech Poznań14h 17m

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Sligo Rovers – Galway United14h 47m

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Sevilla vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips 17.05.2026

Football Predictions

LaLiga • Spain

Sevilla

17 May20:00R 37

00:00:00

Real Madrid

Match form loads a moment after the page opens so the main prediction can appear first; recent results are fetched right after.

Sevilla — Last 6

Real Madrid — Last 6

Sevilla host Real Madrid at the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán on Sunday evening, 17 May 2026, in a LaLiga meeting that still carries real weight at both ends of the table. Sevilla are stuck in 12th with 43 points, safe enough from the worst of the scrap but nowhere near the sort of season they’d have wanted. Real Madrid, second with 80 points, are chasing the strongest possible finish and need to keep the pressure on the top of the table. There’s no trophy on the line here, but there is pride, momentum and, for Madrid, the chance to keep their title push alive.

The backdrop is pretty clear. Sevilla have spent the campaign fighting inconsistency and that has left them in mid-table, too often drifting between tidy home spells and messy away days. Real Madrid, under Álvaro Arbeloa, have been much more reliable across the season and arrive in far better shape overall. They’ve dropped points here and there, sure, but they’ve spent most of the year looking like a side built for the business end. Can Sevilla make this a scrap? They’ll try. The problem is that Madrid usually don’t need much of an invitation.

Sevilla Form & Analysis

Sevilla’s recent run has at least given their supporters something to hold onto. They went to Villarreal on 13 May and won 3-2, a result that came with a bit of bite and a bit of luck in the right moments. Before that, they beat Espanyol 2-1 at home and Real Sociedad 1-0 at home, which gave them three straight wins and a brief sense that the season was turning in a better direction. That little streak was broken by back-to-back defeats away to Osasuna and Levante UD, both by a single goal, and those losses summed up the bigger issue: too often, they’ve been competitive without quite having the control to see games out.

That’s been the story of their season. Sevilla are 12th overall with 12 wins, seven draws and 17 defeats, and they’ve scored 46 while conceding 58. At home, the picture is a little cleaner. They’ve taken 25 points from 18 matches at the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, with seven wins, four draws and seven losses, and the goals are level at 24 scored and 24 conceded. So they’re not a side opponents can just roll over. They’ll stand up and have a go. But they’re also not especially trustworthy at home when the opposition is elite. That’s the real problem here.

The positive for Luis Garcia is that Sevilla have shown they can keep things tight when they’re on it. The 1-0 over Real Sociedad and the 2-1 over Espanyol both came with enough control to suggest there’s a plan in place, and the Villarreal win away from home showed a bit of resilience too. Still, against a team like Real Madrid, the margin for error shrinks fast. Sevilla’s home numbers are respectable rather than threatening. They’re averaging a goal a game at home, and when they give up chances, they tend to give up the sort that better finishers punish.

Real Madrid Form & Analysis

Real Madrid arrive in Seville with a record that looks much more convincing than Sevilla’s and, frankly, that’s what you’d expect from a side sitting second. Their last six matches have had a few bumps, but the overall picture is still strong. They beat Real Oviedo 2-0 at home on 14 May, a fairly routine job done with control rather than flash. Before that came the 2-0 loss at Barcelona, which hurt, and the 2-0 win at Espanyol, which showed how quickly they can reset. There was also a 1-1 draw at Real Betis, a 2-1 home win over Deportivo Alavés and that wild 4-3 defeat away to FC Bayern München in the Champions League knockout stage. Different competitions, different moods — but on the domestic front, Madrid have kept themselves in the fight.

Their league numbers are strong across the board. Real Madrid have 80 points from 25 wins, five draws and six defeats, with 72 goals scored and only 33 conceded. Away from home, they’ve been just as dangerous: 34 points from 18 trips, 10 wins, four draws and four losses, along with 31 goals scored and 19 conceded. That’s the sort of away record that travels. It doesn’t matter much if the venue is awkward or the occasion a little tense. They’ve already shown they can go to difficult grounds and take control.

Arbeloa’s side don’t need to dominate every minute to win these matches. They just need to be clinical when the game opens up. The 2-0 at Espanyol is the clearest recent example of that. They weren’t out there trying to dazzle. They were there to get the job done. And that matters here because Sevilla have enough at home to make this uncomfortable if Madrid are sloppy. Mind you, Madrid’s balance away from home is exactly why they’re favoured. They don’t hand out much at the back, and they have enough quality to turn a few good moments into a result. That’s a hard combination to live with.

Head-to-Head

This fixture has leaned heavily towards Real Madrid for a long time. The most recent meeting, in December 2025, ended 2-0 to Madrid in the capital, and that fits the broader pattern. Sevilla also lost 2-0 at home to them in May 2025, while Madrid won 4-2 in December 2024 and 1-0 in February 2024. You have to go back a while to find anything Sevilla can really smile about.

The bigger point is the trend rather than any single result. Real Madrid have won four of the last eight listed meetings, and they haven’t lost any of them. Sevilla have also struggled to keep clean sheets in this fixture, which is no small thing when Madrid are so comfortable scoring first and controlling the rest. Sevilla have had moments in some of these games, but the overall pattern is fairly blunt. Madrid usually have their number.

We Predict: Away Win

We’re backing Real Madrid to win at 11/10 here. That price looks fair for a team with a second-place league position, a 10-4-4 away record and a habit of coming through this particular fixture without much fuss. Sevilla have improved enough to make a nuisance of themselves, but they’re not matching Madrid for consistency or individual quality, and that matters when the pressure rises. The away side’s edge in both boxes should tell.

The 1-2 correct score is the call. Sevilla have enough at home to nick a goal — their home record is decent and they’ve scored in enough matches to avoid being written off — but Madrid’s away form and recent control in this fixture point toward a narrow win rather than a rout. If you want a steadier angle, Real Madrid to score first also has plenty going for it, given how often they’ve set the tone in this matchup. But the main play is the away win. Madrid should find a way through.